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Huadian Energy Company (600726) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 50.0B CNY

HE Huadian Energy Company 600726 · SHG
Price¥6.32
Fair Value¥3.23
Upside-48.9%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.43 – ¥4.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥0.4800 to ¥3.23 (+572.9%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.39 ¥1.83 Fair Value ¥3.23 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.83 – ¥10.39 · fair‑value band ¥2.43 – ¥4.04 · the ¥6.32 price screens above the ¥3.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Huadian Energy Company (600726) currently trades at ¥6.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.23, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huadian Energy Company generated revenue of 16.5B CNY at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. Net debt stands at 8.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.43 (bear case) to ¥4.04 (bull case); at ¥6.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 178% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -49%, 600726 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.9700 ¥1.94 ¥3.51 80
Residual Income ¥0.4300 ¥0.4300 ¥0.4200 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.58 ¥3.15 ¥5.09 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.9700 ¥1.98 ¥3.64 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.58 ¥3.19 ¥5.36 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.28 ¥4.59 ¥7.43 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥0.2200 ¥0.5100 ¥0.8200 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.27 ¥2.73 ¥4.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.81 ¥3.72 ¥6.55 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥0.4700 ¥0.8000 ¥1.22 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1800 ¥0.7300 ¥0.9900 54
Lynch FV ¥0.1800 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3400 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.1800 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3400 46
EPV ¥1.07 ¥1.33 ¥1.55 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5100 ¥1.07 ¥1.69 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5100 ¥0.9000 ¥1.12 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.3600 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6000 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.3400 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5700 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.3400 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5700 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.51 ¥3.51 ¥4.51 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.27 ¥4.53 ¥5.78 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.94 ¥2.98 ¥4.02 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.2800 ¥0.3700 ¥0.5500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.9700 ¥1.94 ¥3.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.58 ¥3.15 ¥5.09 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥0.4300 ¥0.4300 ¥0.4200 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.23 ¥1.79 ¥2.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.2900 ¥0.4200 ¥0.5400 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.73) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.2600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 16.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.9%
Net margin 2.0%
Return on equity 14.1%
Free cash flow 882M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 126.4
More key figures
Operating margin 22.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) +33.3%
Net debt 8.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huadian Energy Company Limited engages in the generation and sale of electric power in China. The company generates electric power through thermal sources, as well as provides heat services. It also involved in coal production and sales business. It has an installed capacity of 25.7693 million kilowatts of thermal power.

Full company description

Huadian Energy Company Limited engages in the generation and sale of electric power in China. The company generates electric power through thermal sources, as well as provides heat services. It also involved in coal production and sales business. It has an installed capacity of 25.7693 million kilowatts of thermal power. The company was formerly known as Heilongjiang Electric Power Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Huadian Energy Company Limited in July 2004. Huadian Energy Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in Harbin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huadian Energy Company reported revenue of ¥16.7B in FY2025 versus ¥18.9B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥200M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+18.8%
Revenue −3.1%/yr
FY21 ¥18.9B
FY22 ¥18.9B
FY23 ¥18.8B
FY24 ¥18.2B
FY25 ¥16.7B
Net income
FY21 −¥924M
FY22 −¥1.0B
FY23 −¥91.0M
FY24 ¥166M
FY25 ¥200M

600726 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huadian Energy Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600726

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.74× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 126.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 12.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.03× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 57 · sector 31
HEALTH 13 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $257.57 $89.08 -65%
Vistra Corp VST $158.86 $47.59 -70%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹218.45 ₹75.57 -65%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.88 ¥3.13 -19%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $137.90 $56.02 -59%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 67.50 THB 40.44 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,730 ₹342.02 -80%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $372.37 $44.67 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.80 ¥4.95 -15%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$58.45 HK$31.90 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huadian Energy Company (600726) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.23 versus a price of ¥6.32, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600726?
Our model-based fair value for Huadian Energy Company is ¥3.23 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.32.
What is the quality score of 600726?
Huadian Energy Company has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huadian Energy Company (600726)?
Huadian Energy Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600726?
The net profit margin of Huadian Energy Company is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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