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Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co (600731) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

HH Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co 600731 · SHG
Price¥5.85
Fair Value¥5.18
Upside-11.5%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.74 – ¥8.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.50 to ¥5.18 (−5.8%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥4.74 (bear) to ¥8.13 (bull), base ¥5.18. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.27 ¥4.21 Fair Value ¥5.18 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.21 – ¥10.27 · fair‑value band ¥4.74 – ¥8.13 · the ¥5.85 price screens above the ¥5.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co (600731) currently trades at ¥5.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.18, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 649M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.74 (bear case) to ¥8.13 (bull case); at ¥5.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -11%, 600731 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.29 ¥1.45 ¥1.68 80
Residual Income ¥4.68 ¥4.97 ¥5.40 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.33 ¥4.87 ¥5.33 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.29 ¥1.47 ¥1.75 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.00 ¥5.68 ¥8.18 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.17 ¥5.07 ¥7.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.06 ¥6.73 ¥9.93 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.28 ¥7.16 ¥10.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.36 ¥3.90 ¥6.08 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.02 ¥5.04 ¥7.88 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.16 ¥5.33 ¥8.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.99 ¥9.83 ¥13.15 54
Lynch FV ¥2.21 ¥3.16 ¥4.11 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.21 ¥3.16 ¥4.11 46
EPV ¥4.33 ¥4.87 ¥5.33 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.98 ¥3.95 ¥5.98 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.98 ¥3.30 ¥4.17 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.61 ¥7.48 ¥9.35 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.68 ¥4.90 ¥6.13 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.61 ¥7.48 ¥9.35 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.59 ¥7.14 ¥8.68 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.17 ¥7.91 ¥9.64 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.38 ¥5.85 ¥7.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.86 ¥3.84 ¥5.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.29 ¥1.45 ¥1.68 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.68 ¥4.97 ¥5.40 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.33 ¥4.87 ¥5.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.85 ¥6.93 ¥9.01 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥7.14) versus Growth DCF (¥1.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.2%
Net margin 12.5%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow 17.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.6
More key figures
Operating margin 12.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) -18.8%
Net cash 649M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, sells, and trades in chemical pesticides and other fine chemicals under the Haili brand in China and internationally. It operates through Agricultural Pesticides, Lithium Battery Materials, and Other segments.

Full company description

Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, sells, and trades in chemical pesticides and other fine chemicals under the Haili brand in China and internationally. It operates through Agricultural Pesticides, Lithium Battery Materials, and Other segments. The company offers carbamate and organophosphorus pesticides, insecticides, fungicides, and herbicides; energy storage materials, such as power lithium manganese oxides, high-capacity lithium manganese oxides, and ternary materials; vegetable seeds, including peppers, eggplants, tomatoes, winter melons, cucumbers, flowering cabbage, pumpkins, loofahs, watermelons, and cantaloupes; lithium battery cathode materials; bactericides, seed coating agents, and pesticide intermediates; and alkylphenol intermediates. It also engages in technical consulting and technology transfer services; professional and technical services; research, development, and production of plastic products; commodity trade; lithium battery manufacturing; and seed activities. Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥244M in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 31/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−26.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Revenue −9.9%/yr
FY21 ¥2.7B
FY22 ¥3.1B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥1.8B
Net income −2.2%/yr
FY21 ¥267M
FY22 ¥352M
FY23 ¥274M
FY24 ¥265M
FY25 ¥244M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +36.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.7 pp

of which total revenue +10.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.4 pp

EBIT margin +22.3 pp
Tax rate +4.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600731 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600731

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.00× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.71× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 27.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 21
FUTURE 61 · sector 37
PAST 31 · sector 24
HEALTH 92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co (600731) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.18 versus a price of ¥5.85, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600731?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co is ¥5.18 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.85.
What is the quality score of 600731?
Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co (600731)?
Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600731?
The net profit margin of Hunan Haili Chemical Industry Co is about 12.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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