Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation (600759) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 9.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −3.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.83 – ¥8.70 · fair‑value band ¥0.6900 – ¥1.06 · the ¥2.33 price screens above the ¥1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation (600759) currently trades at ¥2.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.04, implying the stock looks roughly 55.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 26.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at 173M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6900 (bear case) to ¥1.06 (bull case); at ¥2.33, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -55%, 600759 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.40) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation engages in the exploration and development of oil and gas properties in China and internationally.
Full company description
Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation engages in the exploration and development of oil and gas properties in China and internationally. The company is also involved in the provision of technical development, consulting, and other services; production and sale of petrochemical products and pipelines; sales of materials, equipment, and instruments for production and construction; and oil product trade and import and export. In addition, the company engages in investment, development and operation of energy infrastructure industries; technology research and development; production and sales of new energy products; equity investment; and house leasing and property management. Further, it operates Huwaiza and Naft Khana oil and gas blocks located in Iraq; and Matan Oilfield and Keshan Oilfield located in the Pre-Caspian Basin of Kazakhstan. The company was formerly known as Hainan Zhenghe Industrial Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation in August 2014. Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1984 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥144M in FY2025.
600759 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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