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Luyin Investment Group (600784) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY

LI Luyin Investment Group 600784 · SHG
Price¥7.62
Fair Value¥4.03
Upside-47.1%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.65% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.20 – ¥5.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥4.19 to ¥4.03 (−3.8%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.70 ¥4.35 Fair Value ¥4.03 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.35 – ¥8.70 · fair‑value band ¥3.20 – ¥5.33 · the ¥7.62 price screens above the ¥4.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Luyin Investment Group (600784) currently trades at ¥7.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.03, implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Luyin Investment Group generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.20 (bear case) to ¥5.33 (bull case); at ¥7.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -47%, 600784 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.5200 ¥1.50 ¥3.11 80
Residual Income ¥3.68 ¥3.72 ¥3.54 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.92 ¥4.40 ¥7.71 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.5400 ¥1.65 ¥3.57 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.19 ¥2.84 ¥5.70 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.92 ¥4.53 ¥8.22 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.90 ¥6.60 ¥11.43 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.67 ¥4.00 ¥6.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.32 ¥3.62 ¥7.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.07 ¥5.13 ¥10.12 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.27 ¥3.23 ¥6.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.71 ¥8.67 ¥11.98 54
Lynch FV ¥2.36 ¥3.37 ¥4.38 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.36 ¥3.37 ¥4.38 46
EPV ¥1.64 ¥2.02 ¥2.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8600 ¥1.72 ¥2.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8600 ¥1.49 ¥1.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.20 ¥4.27 ¥5.33 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.20 ¥4.27 ¥5.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.20 ¥4.27 ¥5.33 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.11 ¥4.41 ¥5.70 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.40 ¥6.12 ¥7.84 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.60 ¥4.04 ¥5.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.42 ¥3.25 ¥4.84 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.5200 ¥1.50 ¥3.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.92 ¥4.40 ¥7.71 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.68 ¥3.72 ¥3.54 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.64 ¥2.02 ¥2.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.21 ¥4.59 ¥5.97 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥4.59) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.7%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow 69.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 34.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2100
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -33.3%
Net debt 1.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Luyin Investment Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of powder metallurgy materials and products, and salt and salt chemical products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Luyin Investment Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of powder metallurgy materials and products, and salt and salt chemical products in China and internationally. The company offers table salt, industrial salt, domestic salt and bromine; and powder metallurgy automotive parts, including timing sprocket series, bearing cover series, VVT sprocket/stator and rotor series, pulley series and oil pump series. It is involved in consulting services; cashmere manufacturing; brine production; new material and technology research and development; processing and sales of non-edible salt; electricity, heat production and supply industry; and trading business. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Luyin Investment Group reported revenue of ¥3.4B in FY2025 versus ¥3.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥170M in FY2025, compounding −7.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+12.9%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 ¥3.0B
FY22 ¥3.8B
FY23 ¥3.3B
FY24 ¥3.4B
FY25 ¥3.4B
Net income −7.2%/yr
FY21 ¥229M
FY22 ¥325M
FY23 ¥264M
FY24 ¥301M
FY25 ¥170M

600784 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luyin Investment Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600784

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 18 · sector 15
HEALTH 87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Luyin Investment Group (600784) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.03 versus a price of ¥7.62, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600784?
Our model-based fair value for Luyin Investment Group is ¥4.03 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.62.
What is the quality score of 600784?
Luyin Investment Group has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Luyin Investment Group (600784)?
Luyin Investment Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600784?
The net profit margin of Luyin Investment Group is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Luyin Investment Group pay a dividend?
Luyin Investment Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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