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Jinan High-tech Development Co (600807) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 2.2B CNY

JH Jinan High-tech Development Co 600807 · SHG
Price¥2.61
Fair Value¥0.5000
Upside-80.8%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -64.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.3700 – ¥0.6400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +7.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.80 ¥2.13 Fair Value ¥0.5000 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.13 – ¥5.80 · fair‑value band ¥0.3700 – ¥0.6400 · the ¥2.61 price screens above the ¥0.5000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Jinan High-tech Development Co (600807) currently trades at ¥2.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 80.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 325M CNY. Revenue declined 39.8% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 50.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3700 (bear case) to ¥0.6400 (bull case); at ¥2.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -81%, 600807 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.35 ¥1.77 ¥2.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.26 ¥1.55 ¥1.94 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2600 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.36 ¥1.74 ¥2.62 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.26 ¥1.56 ¥1.97 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.28 ¥1.58 ¥2.06 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2600 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0900 ¥0.1500 ¥0.1800 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥1.21 ¥1.35 ¥1.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.1700 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.35 ¥1.77 ¥2.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.26 ¥1.55 ¥1.94 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥1.58) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 317M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -39.8%
Net margin -64.6%
Return on equity -58.4%
Free cash flow 30.4M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -28.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2400
EPS growth (YoY) +600%
Net cash 50.4M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jinan High-tech Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the in-vitro diagnostics, trading, real estate, and property service businesses in China.

Full company description

Jinan High-tech Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the in-vitro diagnostics, trading, real estate, and property service businesses in China. It offers molecular diagnostic automated testing equipment, including automatic nucleic acid detection system, nucleic acid workstation, and nucleic acid extraction and purification instrument, as well as fluorescence quantitative PCR instrument, etc.; medical and health services; and technology and engineering consulting services in the field of biosafety. The company also provides real estate development services; and property services, including cleaning, security, greening maintenance, equipment and facility management, and payment of water and electricity bills, as well as trades in steel bars. Jinan High-tech Development Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jinan High-tech Development Co reported revenue of ¥352M in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound −27.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥208M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
352M CNY
Latest YoY
−5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−41.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Revenue −27.7%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥716M
FY24 ¥372M
FY25 ¥352M
Net income
FY21 ¥40.9M
FY22 ¥80.7M
FY23 −¥95.1M
FY24 −¥806M
FY25 −¥208M

600807 screens 81% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jinan High-tech Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600807

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -65% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -40% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 97 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jinan High-tech Development Co (600807) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5000 versus a price of ¥2.61, about −81% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600807?
Our model-based fair value for Jinan High-tech Development Co is ¥0.5000 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.61.
What is the quality score of 600807?
Jinan High-tech Development Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jinan High-tech Development Co (600807)?
Jinan High-tech Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 325M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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