Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co (600820) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 17.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +0.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 173% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥10.68). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.45 – ¥7.43 · fair‑value band ¥10.68 – ¥18.48 · the ¥5.41 price screens below the ¥14.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co (600820) currently trades at ¥5.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.79, implying the stock looks roughly 173.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co generated revenue of 55.3B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at 2.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.68 (bear case) to ¥18.48 (bull case); at ¥5.41, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 173%, 600820 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.55) versus Growth DCF (¥6.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the consulting, planning, design, investment, construction, and operation of urban infrastructure in China, Hong Kong, India, Singapore, Macau, and internationally.
Full company description
Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the consulting, planning, design, investment, construction, and operation of urban infrastructure in China, Hong Kong, India, Singapore, Macau, and internationally. It undertakes tunnel, rail transit, road and bridge, gas and new energy, water utilities and environment, underground space, urban public space, and other projects; and provides operation and maintenance services. The company also offers prefabricated civil and commercial building products; PC pre-cast components; and digital solutions, software products, and systematic professional services in the field of infrastructure. In addition, it researches, develops, and sells shield tunneling machines; and industrial funds, financial leasing, and factoring services. The company was founded in 1965 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co reported revenue of ¥57.9B in FY2025 versus ¥62.2B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.2B in FY2025, compounding −1.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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