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Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., (600854) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.3B CNY

JC Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., 600854 · SHG
Price¥4.54
Fair Value¥3.73
Upside-17.8%
Quality63/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 123.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.71% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.13 – ¥3.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥3.86 to ¥3.73 (−3.4%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +8.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.92 ¥3.11 Fair Value ¥3.73 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.11 – ¥7.92 · fair‑value band ¥3.13 – ¥3.73 · the ¥4.54 price screens above the ¥3.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., (600854) currently trades at ¥4.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.73, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 103M CNY. Revenue grew 42.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.13 (bear case) to ¥3.73 (bull case); at ¥4.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -18%, 600854 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.43 ¥2.52 ¥2.68 80
Residual Income ¥3.62 ¥3.67 ¥3.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.34 ¥2.41 ¥2.51 74
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.41 ¥2.51 ¥2.69 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.82 ¥5.81 ¥7.57 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.34 ¥2.41 ¥2.51 39
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.34 ¥5.87 ¥7.69 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.36 ¥2.42 ¥2.47 36
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.55 ¥4.51 ¥5.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.67 ¥2.04 ¥2.30 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.05 ¥1.15 ¥1.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.05 ¥1.30 ¥1.64 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.05 ¥5.41 ¥6.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.1600 ¥0.2200 ¥0.2700 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.13 ¥4.18 ¥5.22 55
EV/Revenue ¥2.30 ¥2.36 ¥2.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.37 ¥3.18 ¥4.75 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.43 ¥2.52 ¥2.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.34 ¥2.41 ¥2.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.62 ¥3.67 ¥3.50 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.86 ¥4.08 ¥5.31 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥4.08) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 103M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.1%
Net margin 123%
Return on equity 5.4%
Free cash flow 15.2M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.6
More key figures
Operating margin -17.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2400
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -50.9%
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of refrigeration products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of refrigeration products in China and internationally. The company offers residential air conditioner products, including universal, floor-standing, and window products; Australian MEPS; standard wall split type; and new ErP R410a A++ series. It also provides commercial air conditioners, including light commercial products, multi-connected DC inverter series, and chiller series; Lithium ion battery, Lithium ion battery pack, battery management systems; bagged canister, bagless canister, stick, and wet and dry vacuums; and air purifiers. Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd. was founded in 1988 and is based in Taizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., reported revenue of ¥94.9M in FY2025 versus ¥236M in FY2021, a compound −20.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥128M in FY2025, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
94.9M CNY
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−30.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.6%
Revenue −20.4%/yr
FY21 ¥236M
FY22 ¥282M
FY23 ¥173M
FY24 ¥92.0M
FY25 ¥94.9M
Net income +6.5%/yr
FY21 ¥99.2M
FY22 ¥123M
FY23 ¥148M
FY24 ¥133M
FY25 ¥128M

600854 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600854

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 123% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 42% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 22.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 22.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.73× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 22 · sector 19
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., (600854) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.73 versus a price of ¥4.54, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600854?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., is ¥3.73 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.54.
What is the quality score of 600854?
Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., (600854)?
Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 103M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600854?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., is about 123.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 123.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., pay a dividend?
Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd., currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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