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Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation (600863) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 37.0B CNY

IM Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation 600863 · SHG
Price¥4.72
Fair Value¥5.73
Upside+21.4%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.65% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.71 – ¥7.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +8.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.71 to ¥7.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.92 ¥2.07 Fair Value ¥5.73 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.07 – ¥7.92 · fair‑value band ¥3.71 – ¥7.16 · the ¥4.72 price screens below the ¥5.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation (600863) currently trades at ¥4.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.73, implying the stock looks roughly 21.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation generated revenue of 20.3B CNY at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue declined 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at 10.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.71 (bear case) to ¥7.16 (bull case); at ¥4.72, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 21%, 600863 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.68 ¥6.68 ¥11.52 80
Residual Income ¥2.09 ¥2.59 ¥5.45 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.65 ¥6.77 ¥10.59 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.66 ¥6.77 ¥11.85 38
Owner Earnings ¥0.8300 ¥2.01 ¥3.95 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.65 ¥6.82 ¥11.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.36 ¥8.21 ¥12.87 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.21 ¥5.94 ¥8.93 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.46 ¥6.42 ¥10.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.07 ¥7.41 ¥12.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.32 ¥5.79 ¥9.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.16 ¥8.40 ¥11.39 54
Lynch FV ¥2.06 ¥2.94 ¥3.83 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.06 ¥2.94 ¥3.83 46
EPV ¥3.41 ¥4.14 ¥4.77 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.12 ¥4.40 ¥6.98 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.12 ¥3.71 ¥4.62 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.30 ¥5.73 ¥7.16 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.06 ¥5.41 ¥6.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.71 ¥3.62 ¥4.52 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.94 ¥6.89 ¥8.85 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.29 ¥7.36 ¥9.43 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.79 ¥5.80 ¥7.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.00 ¥1.35 ¥2.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.68 ¥6.68 ¥11.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.65 ¥6.77 ¥10.59 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.09 ¥2.59 ¥5.45 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.82 ¥5.37 ¥7.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.38 ¥4.83 ¥6.29 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥6.68) versus Asset-Based (¥1.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 20.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.6%
Net margin 11.2%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow 3.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 20.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3100
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.4%
Net debt 10.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation Limited engages in thermal power generation and heating businesses in China.

Full company description

Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation Limited engages in thermal power generation and heating businesses in China. The company is involved in the production, supply, sale, maintenance, and management of steam and hot water, wind and solar power, and other energy power generation assets; and development, construction, operation, and management of coal, coal chemical, and deep coal processing projects. It also invests in limestone and raw materials related to power production; engages in railway supporting infrastructure; and provision of management and consulting services. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Hohhot, China. Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of Northern United Electric Power Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation reported revenue of ¥21.1B in FY2025 versus ¥19.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.5B in FY2025, compounding +49.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
21.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+14.2%
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 ¥19.0B
FY22 ¥23.1B
FY23 ¥22.5B
FY24 ¥22.3B
FY25 ¥21.1B
Net income +49.8%/yr
FY21 ¥495M
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥2.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600863

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Revenue growth -14% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.35× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.82× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 62 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 44 · sector 31
HEALTH 74 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 93 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $257.57 $89.08 -65%
Vistra Corp VST $158.86 $47.59 -70%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹218.45 ₹75.57 -65%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.88 ¥3.13 -19%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $137.90 $56.02 -59%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 67.50 THB 40.44 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,730 ₹342.02 -80%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $372.37 $44.67 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.80 ¥4.95 -15%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$58.45 HK$31.90 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation (600863) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.73 versus a price of ¥4.72, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600863?
Our model-based fair value for Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation is ¥5.73 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.72.
What is the quality score of 600863?
Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation (600863)?
Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600863?
The net profit margin of Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation is about 11.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation pay a dividend?
Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.99% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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