Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group (600874) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 8.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥10.60 to ¥11.35 (+7.1%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 106% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥7.61). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥7.61 to ¥14.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.30 – ¥6.99 · fair‑value band ¥7.61 – ¥14.41 · the ¥5.52 price screens below the ¥11.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group (600874) currently trades at ¥5.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.35, implying the stock looks roughly 105.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group generated revenue of 4.8B CNY at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at 5.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.61 (bear case) to ¥14.41 (bull case); at ¥5.52, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 106%, 600874 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.16) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group Company Limited engages in the sewage treatment business in the People's Republic of China. The company is involved in the provision of wastewater treatment; recycled water; water supply; energy cooling and heating; third party governance business; sludge treatment; and hazardous waste treatment services.
Full company description
Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group Company Limited engages in the sewage treatment business in the People's Republic of China. The company is involved in the provision of wastewater treatment; recycled water; water supply; energy cooling and heating; third party governance business; sludge treatment; and hazardous waste treatment services. It provides environmental technology products and services; environmental protection equipment customization; and engages in construction and management of related facilities, as well as entrusted operation and other businesses. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in , the People's Republic of China. Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group Company Limited is a subsidiary of Tianjin Municipal Investment Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group reported revenue of ¥4.8B in FY2025 versus ¥4.5B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥862M in FY2025, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Waste Management · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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