Shandong Binzhou Bohai Piston Co Ltd (600960) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.35 to ¥2.70 (+100.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +12.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 47% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥1.40 to ¥3.98). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.53 – ¥6.34 · fair‑value band ¥1.40 – ¥3.98 · the ¥3.98 price screens above the ¥2.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Binzhou Bohai Piston Co Ltd (600960) currently trades at ¥3.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.70, implying the stock looks roughly 32.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Binzhou Bohai Piston Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.8B CNY at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue declined 32.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at 980M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.40 (bear case) to ¥3.98 (bull case); at ¥3.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -32%, 600960 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.45) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.22). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Bohai Automotive Systems CO., LTD. manufactures and sells various pistons in China and internationally. Its piston products are used in passenger and commercial, engineering, marine, agriculture, general motor, and other vehicles. The company also offers aluminium, mono-forged-steel, laser remelting, and pressure casting pistons, as well as piston kits.
Full company description
Bohai Automotive Systems CO., LTD. manufactures and sells various pistons in China and internationally. Its piston products are used in passenger and commercial, engineering, marine, agriculture, general motor, and other vehicles. The company also offers aluminium, mono-forged-steel, laser remelting, and pressure casting pistons, as well as piston kits. Bohai Automotive Systems CO., LTD. was formerly known as Shandong Binzhou Bohai Piston Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Bohai Automotive Systems CO., LTD. in October 2017. Bohai Automotive Systems CO., LTD. was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Binzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Binzhou Bohai Piston Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥4.2B in FY2024 versus ¥4.7B in FY2020, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.3B in FY2024.
600960 screens 32% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 646 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $92.05 | $47.50 | -48% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $3,019 | $2,287 | -24% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 511,000 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +26% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥56.76 | ¥84.47 | +49% |
| Knorr-Bremse AG KBX | €100.50 | €72.88 | -27% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $69.71 | $68.17 | -2% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $131.89 | $58.07 | -56% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹169.58 | ₹80.63 | -52% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,700 | ₹11,534 | -76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥50.30 | ¥28.28 | -44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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