Zhuzhou Smelter Group (600961) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 31.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +11.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.00 – ¥35.71 · fair‑value band ¥13.37 – ¥22.29 · the ¥29.40 price screens above the ¥17.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Zhuzhou Smelter Group (600961) currently trades at ¥29.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.83, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhuzhou Smelter Group generated revenue of 24.5B CNY at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue grew 45.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.5%. Net debt stands at 729M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥13.37 (bear case) to ¥22.29 (bull case); at ¥29.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 189% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -39%, 600961 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥25.65) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhuzhou Smelter Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells zinc and its alloy products under the Torch brand in China.
Full company description
Zhuzhou Smelter Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells zinc and its alloy products under the Torch brand in China. The company offers zinc ingots, hot dip zinc alloy ingot, cast zinc alloy ingots, and cadmium ingots; lead, zinc, gold, copper, and gold-sulfur concentrates; lead ingots and lead-based alloys; silver; bismuth, tellurium, cadmium, and indium ingots; and sulfuric acid, copper matte, antimony dioxide, and crude mercury. It is also involved in lead and zinc smelting, environmental product development, non-ferrous metal processing, and trading activities. Zhuzhou Smelter Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1956 and is based in Zhuzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhuzhou Smelter Group reported revenue of ¥22.2B in FY2025 versus ¥16.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +61.9%/yr from FY2021.
600961 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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