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Hunan New Wellful Co (600975) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY

HN Hunan New Wellful Co 600975 · SHG
Price¥4.93
Fair Value¥7.89
Upside+60.0%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -18.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.64 – ¥10.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥5.92 to ¥7.89 (+33.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.64). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥5.64 to ¥10.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.10 ¥4.24 Fair Value ¥7.89 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.24 – ¥13.10 · fair‑value band ¥5.64 – ¥10.15 · the ¥4.93 price screens below the ¥7.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan New Wellful Co (600975) currently trades at ¥4.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.89, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan New Wellful Co generated revenue of 7.0B CNY at a net margin of -18.3%. Revenue declined 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -50.3%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.64 (bear case) to ¥10.15 (bull case); at ¥4.93, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 60%, 600975 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.23 ¥10.21 ¥17.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.22 ¥7.59 ¥12.25 74
EV/EBITDA ¥5.01 ¥6.71 ¥8.41 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.38 ¥9.94 ¥20.16 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.22 ¥7.71 ¥12.60 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.93 ¥9.27 ¥14.95 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.43 ¥7.94 ¥13.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.04 ¥9.11 ¥15.75 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥5.01 ¥6.71 ¥8.41 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.64 ¥5.24 ¥6.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8700 ¥1.16 ¥1.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.23 ¥10.21 ¥17.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.22 ¥7.59 ¥12.25 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.11) versus Asset-Based (¥1.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.0%
Net margin -18.3%
Return on equity -50.3%
Free cash flow 511M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -2.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-1.02
EPS growth (YoY) +226%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan New Wellful Co.,Ltd. primarily engages in the breeding and supplying of pigs. It also provides pig breeding; pig slaughtering and meat processing; and feed production, as well as sales of breeding pigs, piglets, and commercial pigs. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan New Wellful Co reported revenue of ¥7.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound +31.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥876M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+13.9%
Revenue +31.3%/yr
FY21 ¥2.4B
FY22 ¥5.0B
FY23 ¥5.6B
FY24 ¥7.0B
FY25 ¥7.3B
Net income
FY21 −¥296M
FY22 −¥77.7M
FY23 −¥1.2B
FY24 ¥39.3M
FY25 −¥876M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan New Wellful Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600975

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 80 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan New Wellful Co (600975) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.89 versus a price of ¥4.93, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600975?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan New Wellful Co is ¥7.89 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.93.
What is the quality score of 600975?
Hunan New Wellful Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan New Wellful Co (600975)?
Hunan New Wellful Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600975?
The net profit margin of Hunan New Wellful Co is about -18.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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