Kailuan Energy Chemical Co (600997) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 8.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥1.72 to ¥3.44 (+100.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥3.34 to ¥3.54), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.75 – ¥10.30 · fair‑value band ¥3.34 – ¥3.54 · the ¥5.41 price screens above the ¥3.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co (600997) currently trades at ¥5.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.44, implying the stock looks roughly 36.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kailuan Energy Chemical Co generated revenue of 17.3B CNY at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.34 (bear case) to ¥3.54 (bull case); at ¥5.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -36%, 600997 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.75) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.07). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd. engages in coal, coal chemical, and other businesses in China and internationally. It is involved in coal mining, raw coal washing and processing; coking; and production and sales of coal chemical products, such as metallurgical coke; investment; and house leasing.
Full company description
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd. engages in coal, coal chemical, and other businesses in China and internationally. It is involved in coal mining, raw coal washing and processing; coking; and production and sales of coal chemical products, such as metallurgical coke; investment; and house leasing. The company offers chemical products, such as methanol, benzene, adipic acid, and polyoxymethylene; coal tar derivatives; technical services; and promotion services for new material technologies. The company was formerly known as Kailuan Coal Co., Ltd. Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Tangshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥17.4B in FY2025 versus ¥23.2B in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥32.4M in FY2025.
600997 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,515 IDR | 1,267 IDR | -16% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $78.91 | $18.35 | -77% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.34 | ¥1.24 | -63% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $143.80 | $45.29 | -69% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.39 | HK$2.34 | -2% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.54 | ¥1.75 | -51% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $12.80 | $1.74 | -86% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.63 | ¥1.91 | -27% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $8.37 | $3.67 | -56% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥6.50 | ¥6.54 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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