Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd ¥2.64, price ¥2.97, upside -11.1%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.45 – ¥6.46 · fair‑value band ¥1.98 – ¥3.94 · the ¥2.97 price screens above the ¥2.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Baotailong New Materials Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides new materials, advanced carbon materials, coal chemical products, hydrogen fuel, and urban public services in China.
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Baotailong New Materials Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides new materials, advanced carbon materials, coal chemical products, hydrogen fuel, and urban public services in China. It offers reduced graphene oxide powder, graphene powder as a coating additive, graphene oxide powder and slurry, conductive additive type graphene powder and slurry, graphene slurry additive for coatings, graphene heating film, graphene silicon crystal far-infrared electric heater, graphene intelligent heating and uterine protection, graphene far-infrared electric heating mural, and graphene smart heated vest, as well as graphene smart heating knee pad, neck protector, waist support, and scroll painting. The company also provides pre-calcined needle-shaped char, calcinated needle-shaped coke, and graphite paper; coke, ammonium sulfate, and washing foam; refined wash oil; and power generation and heating services. In addition, it is involved in clean energy and coal-based petrochemical production; graphite deep processing; graphene and its applications; needle coke and lithium battery raw material development; and graphite and coal mining and washing. The company was formerly known as Qitaihe Baotailong Coal & Coal Chemicals Public Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Baotailong New Materials Co., Ltd. in June 2016. Baotailong New Materials Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Qitaihe, China.
Stock analysis
Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011) currently trades at ¥2.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.64, 11.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥1.98 (bear) to ¥3.94 (bull), the price of ¥2.97 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd reported revenue of 685M CNY in FY2025 versus 3.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −33.8%/yr. Reported net income was −321M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.7B CNY (≈ $850M) · P/S ratio 8.60 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2800 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −46.8% · Return on equity −10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.3% · Operating margin −35.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −11%, 601011 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.98Fair Value ¥2.64Bull ¥3.94
Price ¥2.97 · Upside -11.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−46.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−43.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.7% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.7% (2020) → −21.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 23 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Above median
Fair Value upside−11.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−83.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−35.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−31.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601011
Frequently asked questions
Is Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.64 versus a price of ¥2.97, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601011?
Our model-based fair value for Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is ¥2.64 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.97.
What is the quality score of 601011?
Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.64 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.98, optimistic scenario ¥3.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.64, about −11% upside versus a price of ¥2.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.98, optimistic scenario ¥3.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 646M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.91% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd it is ¥2.64 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ¥2.97. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 601011 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.97, fair value ¥2.64, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601011?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.64). For Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd the two are ¥0.3300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd worth?
The market values Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd at about 5.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.97; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601011?
Our models span a range for Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.98, base ¥2.64, optimistic ¥3.94 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ¥2.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −10.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601011 from its 52-week high?
Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd trades at ¥2.97, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥4.61 and 24% above the low of ¥2.39 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ¥2.97, calculated fair value ¥2.64 (−11%), Quality Score 41/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601011 calculated?
We run Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was ¥2.97. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.64, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (¥1.98 to ¥3.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
The market capitalisation of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is 5.7B CNY (≈ $850M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is 8.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
Earnings per share at Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd are ¥−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
The dividend yield of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
The net margin of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is −46.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is −4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
The operating margin of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is −35.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
Revenue at Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is growing −31.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −43.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011)?
Earnings per share at Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd are growing −58.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011) generate?
The free cash flow of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is −228M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd (601011) carry?
The net debt of Baotailong New Materials Co Ltd is 1.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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