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Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co (601008) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.3B CNY

JL Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co 601008 · SHG
Price¥4.29
Fair Value¥2.51
Upside-41.5%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.38% dividend yield
Trails peers (0/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.75 – ¥2.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥2.57 to ¥2.51 (−2.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.20 ¥3.28 Fair Value ¥2.51 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.28 – ¥8.20 · fair‑value band ¥1.75 – ¥2.92 · the ¥4.29 price screens above the ¥2.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co (601008) currently trades at ¥4.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.51, implying the stock looks roughly 41.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co generated revenue of 2.6B CNY at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at 4.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.75 (bear case) to ¥2.92 (bull case); at ¥4.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -41%, 601008 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.07 ¥1.49 ¥2.08 80
Residual Income ¥2.49 ¥2.47 ¥2.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.06 ¥3.45 ¥5.05 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.06 ¥1.54 ¥2.25 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.15 ¥4.74 ¥7.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.06 ¥3.48 ¥5.33 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.84 ¥6.82 ¥10.35 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.70 ¥2.82 ¥4.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.59 ¥2.79 ¥4.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.78 ¥5.06 ¥8.20 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.45 ¥2.34 ¥3.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9400 ¥2.95 ¥3.93 54
Lynch FV ¥0.6500 ¥0.9200 ¥1.20 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6500 ¥0.9200 ¥1.20 46
EPV ¥2.22 ¥2.55 ¥2.84 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5300 ¥1.05 ¥1.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5300 ¥0.8600 ¥1.11 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.17 ¥2.89 ¥3.61 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.75 ¥2.34 ¥2.92 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.75 ¥2.34 ¥2.92 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.96 ¥5.23 ¥6.51 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.06 ¥8.04 ¥10.01 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.74 ¥3.86 ¥4.97 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.69 ¥2.27 ¥3.38 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.07 ¥1.49 ¥2.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.06 ¥3.45 ¥5.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.49 ¥2.47 ¥2.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.22 ¥2.55 ¥2.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.80 ¥2.57 ¥3.34 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥2.89) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.8600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.4%
Net margin 6.9%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow 105M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.6
More key figures
Operating margin 12.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1400
Dividend yield 1.4%
Net debt 4.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co., Ltd. engages in the development and operation of terminals, docks, and supporting facilities in China and internationally. The company primarily transports iron ore, coal, non-ferrous ore, laterite nickel ore, steel, plywood, machinery and equipment, grain, alumina, and coke.

Full company description

Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co., Ltd. engages in the development and operation of terminals, docks, and supporting facilities in China and internationally. The company primarily transports iron ore, coal, non-ferrous ore, laterite nickel ore, steel, plywood, machinery and equipment, grain, alumina, and coke. It is also involved in cargo loading and unloading, light transport, and warehousing operations within the port area; supply chain management and freight forwarding; transshipment of bulk cargo; operation of passenger and cargo liner shipping services; shipping agency; waterway general cargo transportation; road freight transportation; motor vehicle inspection and testing services; and used car auction activities. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Lianyungang, China. Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Lianyungang Port Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co reported revenue of ¥2.6B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥171M in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+13.6%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥2.5B
FY24 ¥2.6B
FY25 ¥2.6B
Net income +11.9%/yr
FY21 ¥109M
FY22 ¥161M
FY23 ¥189M
FY24 ¥191M
FY25 ¥171M

601008 screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601008

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.53× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.06× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 12 · sector 18
PAST 19 · sector 27
HEALTH 73 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 28 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co (601008) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.51 versus a price of ¥4.29, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601008?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co is ¥2.51 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.29.
What is the quality score of 601008?
Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co (601008)?
Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601008?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.37% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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