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Grandtop Yongxing Group (601033) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.8B CNY

GY Grandtop Yongxing Group 601033 · SHG
Price¥14.17
Fair Value¥16.25
Upside+14.7%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 20.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.36% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range ¥10.10 – ¥20.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +2.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥10.10 to ¥20.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ¥10.10 (bear) to ¥20.44 (bull), base ¥16.25. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

¥16.27 ¥13.33 Fair Value ¥16.25 Oct 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range ¥13.33 – ¥16.27 · fair‑value band ¥10.10 – ¥20.44 · the ¥14.17 price screens below the ¥16.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Grandtop Yongxing Group (601033) currently trades at ¥14.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.25, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grandtop Yongxing Group generated revenue of 4.5B CNY at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at 8.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.10 (bear case) to ¥20.44 (bull case); at ¥14.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 15%, 601033 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.09 ¥19.64 ¥42.24 80
Residual Income ¥10.00 ¥10.71 ¥12.14 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.18 ¥13.39 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.44 ¥18.89 ¥48.30 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.14 ¥19.72 ¥47.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.28 ¥13.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.84 ¥30.70 ¥56.94 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.88 ¥17.68 ¥33.02 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.8900 ¥7.59 ¥18.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.01 ¥26.87 ¥56.61 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.96 ¥16.99 ¥35.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.50 ¥36.39 ¥50.53 54
Lynch FV ¥10.18 ¥14.54 ¥18.91 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.18 ¥14.54 ¥18.91 46
EPV ¥2.59 ¥4.63 ¥6.40 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.06 ¥20.08 ¥25.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.15 ¥9.53 ¥11.91 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.19 ¥16.25 ¥20.32 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.53 ¥14.58 ¥20.62 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.53 ¥22.57 ¥30.61 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.01 ¥8.05 ¥12.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.09 ¥19.64 ¥42.24 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.18 ¥13.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.00 ¥10.71 ¥12.14 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.59 ¥4.63 ¥6.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥15.27 ¥21.82 ¥28.36 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥21.82) versus Economic Profit (¥4.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.2%
Net margin 20.1%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow 968M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.9
More key figures
Operating margin 29.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.00
Dividend yield 4.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.2%
Net debt 8.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grandtop Yongxing Group Co.,Ltd engages in the waste incineration power generation business in China. The company provides biomass processing services, such as biomass treatment services for catering, kitchen, dead poultry and livestock, feces, and other biomass waste.

Full company description

Grandtop Yongxing Group Co.,Ltd engages in the waste incineration power generation business in China. The company provides biomass processing services, such as biomass treatment services for catering, kitchen, dead poultry and livestock, feces, and other biomass waste. It is also involved in the operation management, technology research and development, incineration equipment manufacturing, flue gas treatment and other businesses. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Guangzhou, China. Grandtop Yongxing Group Co.,Ltd is a subsidiary of GZ Environmental Protection Investment Group Co. Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grandtop Yongxing Group reported revenue of ¥4.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥861M in FY2025, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.4%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+20.1%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥3.5B
FY24 ¥3.8B
FY25 ¥4.3B
Net income +6.2%/yr
FY21 ¥677M
FY22 ¥715M
FY23 ¥735M
FY24 ¥821M
FY25 ¥861M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grandtop Yongxing Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601033

Peer Group

Waste Management · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.86× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 10
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 33 · sector 24
HEALTH 57 · sector 82
DIVIDEND 87 · sector 30

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $233.33 $128.02 -45%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.20 $122.01 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$242.43 C$78.67 -68%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €37.51 €24.50 -35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $303.64 $155.37 -49%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$55.40 C$94.12 +70%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €12.20 €7.30 -40%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.32 ¥5.27 -17%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥16.18 ¥20.91 +29%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.34 A$1.18 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grandtop Yongxing Group (601033) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.25 versus a price of ¥14.17, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601033?
Our model-based fair value for Grandtop Yongxing Group is ¥16.25 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.17.
What is the quality score of 601033?
Grandtop Yongxing Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grandtop Yongxing Group (601033)?
Grandtop Yongxing Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601033?
The net profit margin of Grandtop Yongxing Group is about 20.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Grandtop Yongxing Group pay a dividend?
Grandtop Yongxing Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.64% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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