Sailun Group (601058) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 45.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥21.30 to ¥11.46 (−46.2%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from ¥8.36 (bear) to ¥14.56 (bull), base ¥11.46. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.79 – ¥17.94 · fair‑value band ¥8.36 – ¥14.56 · the ¥13.61 price screens above the ¥11.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Sailun Group (601058) currently trades at ¥13.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.46, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sailun Group generated revenue of 37.8B CNY at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue grew 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at 5.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.36 (bear case) to ¥14.56 (bull case); at ¥13.61, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -16%, 601058 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥26.98) versus DCF Models (¥2.83). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sailun Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of tires and tire recycling products in China, Europe, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally.
Full company description
Sailun Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of tires and tire recycling products in China, Europe, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally. The company offers semi-steel radial tires, all-steel radial tires, and off-road tires that are used in passenger cars, light trucks, large buses, trucks, construction machinery, special vehicles, and other fields; and recycling products, including retreaded tires and materials, tread rubbers, rubber powders, steel wires, etc. It also provides rubber products, machinery and equipment, molds and chemical products, as well as technology software development, installation, and related services. The company offers its products under Sailun, Luji, Black Hawk, Ruiketu, Black Knight, Saiwei, Maichi, and other brands. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Sailun Jinyu Group Co., Ltd. Sailun Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sailun Group reported revenue of ¥36.8B in FY2025 versus ¥18.0B in FY2021, a compound +19.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.5B in FY2025, compounding +28.0%/yr from FY2021.
601058 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
Compare Sailun Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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