China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd ¥1.87, price ¥4.50, upside -58.4%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.12 – ¥8.11 · fair‑value band ¥1.87 – ¥2.61 · the ¥4.50 price screens above the ¥1.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation Limited operates as a technology, engineering service, and equipment provider in the nonferrous metals industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation Limited operates as a technology, engineering service, and equipment provider in the nonferrous metals industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Engineering Survey, Design and Consultancy; Engineering and Construction Contracting; and Equipment Manufacturing. The Engineering Survey, Design and Consultancy segment engages in mining, ore dressing, smelting, and material processing activities in the non-ferrous metal industry; geological survey and building construction activities in the construction industry; and engineering design activities in energy, chemical and environmental protection, etc. The Engineering and Construction Contracting segment provides engineering and construction contracting services for metallurgy, transportation, housing construction, highways, building materials, electricity, water conservancy, municipal utilities, steel structures, aluminum, chemical, mining, and other fields. The Equipment Manufacturing segment is involved in the research, development, and manufacture of customized metallurgical and processing equipment, environmental protection equipment, mechanical and electronic equipment, industrial automation systems, and mine safety monitoring and emergency response intelligence systems for use in mining, ore dressing, smelting, and metal material processing areas. It engages in technical development and design consultancy activities. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of Aluminum Corporation of China Limited.
Stock analysis
China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068) currently trades at ¥4.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.87, implying the stock looks roughly 140.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥3.06 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥4.50 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.8600, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.87 (bear) to ¥2.61 (bull), the price of ¥4.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd reported revenue of 22.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 23.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 258M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 13.4B CNY (≈ $2.0B) · P/E ratio 114.0 · P/S ratio 1.28 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0400 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −58%, 601068 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.87Fair Value ¥1.87Bull ¥2.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0293 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.6% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +52.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+48.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.49% vs −12%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 53% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.6% a year for the price.
Compare China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 844 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−58% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.95× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)114.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF2.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA16.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)53· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)69· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601068
Frequently asked questions
Is China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.87 versus a price of ¥4.50, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601068?
Our model-based fair value for China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is ¥1.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.50.
What is the quality score of 601068?
China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.87, optimistic scenario ¥2.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.87, about −58% upside versus a price of ¥4.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.87, optimistic scenario ¥2.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601068 use?
Our models discount China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd that is +17.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd grew -0.1 % a year. The price currently implies +17.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (+17.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.90 %: that much free cash flow China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd it is ¥1.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.50. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 601068 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.50, fair value ¥1.87, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601068?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.87). For China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd the two are ¥2.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd worth?
The market values China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd at about 13.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.50; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601068?
Our models span a range for China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.87, base ¥1.87, optimistic ¥2.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601068?
China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 114.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.87 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 16.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601068 from its 52-week high?
China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd trades at ¥4.50, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥6.64 and 9% above the low of ¥4.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.50, calculated fair value ¥1.87 (−58%), Quality Score 43/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601068 calculated?
We run China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥4.50. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.87, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068) come from?
Earnings per share at China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd grew −19.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.6 %, EBIT margin −19.0 %, tax rate −2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The market capitalisation of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is 13.4B CNY (≈ $2.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is 1.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
Earnings per share at China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd are ¥0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 114.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The dividend yield of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is 3.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The net margin of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is 1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
The operating margin of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
Revenue at China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is growing −10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068)?
Earnings per share at China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd are growing +91.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd (601068) carry?
The net debt of China Aluminum International Engineering Corp Ltd is 9.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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