China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation (601068) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +8.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥1.27 to ¥2.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.12 – ¥8.11 · fair‑value band ¥1.27 – ¥2.61 · the ¥4.56 price screens above the ¥1.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation (601068) currently trades at ¥4.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.69, implying the stock looks roughly 62.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation generated revenue of 22.6B CNY at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 9.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.27 (bear case) to ¥2.61 (bull case); at ¥4.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -63%, 601068 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥2.79) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation Limited operates as a technology, engineering service, and equipment provider in the nonferrous metals industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation Limited operates as a technology, engineering service, and equipment provider in the nonferrous metals industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Engineering Survey, Design and Consultancy; Engineering and Construction Contracting; and Equipment Manufacturing. The Engineering Survey, Design and Consultancy segment engages in mining, ore dressing, smelting, and material processing activities in the non-ferrous metal industry; geological survey and building construction activities in the construction industry; and engineering design activities in energy, chemical and environmental protection, etc. The Engineering and Construction Contracting segment provides engineering and construction contracting services for metallurgy, transportation, housing construction, highways, building materials, electricity, water conservancy, municipal utilities, steel structures, aluminum, chemical, mining, and other fields. The Equipment Manufacturing segment is involved in the research, development, and manufacture of customized metallurgical and processing equipment, environmental protection equipment, mechanical and electronic equipment, industrial automation systems, and mine safety monitoring and emergency response intelligence systems for use in mining, ore dressing, smelting, and metal material processing areas. It engages in technical development and design consultancy activities. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of Aluminum Corporation of China Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation reported revenue of ¥22.9B in FY2025 versus ¥23.9B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥258M in FY2025.
601068 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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