Western Region Gold Co (601069) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 26.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +13.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.10 – ¥48.69 · fair‑value band ¥6.61 – ¥11.01 · the ¥28.51 price screens above the ¥8.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Western Region Gold Co (601069) currently trades at ¥28.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.81, implying the stock looks roughly 69.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Western Region Gold Co generated revenue of 19.7B CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. Net debt stands at 4.5B CNY. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 24.6. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.61 (bear case) to ¥11.01 (bull case); at ¥28.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -69%, 601069 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥16.23) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Western Region Gold Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in non-ferrous metal mining, smelting, rolling processing, and beneficiation in China. It offers gold concentrates and related products; electrolytic metal carbide and carbide ingots; plating ores; and copper-plated alloys.
Full company description
Western Region Gold Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in non-ferrous metal mining, smelting, rolling processing, and beneficiation in China. It offers gold concentrates and related products; electrolytic metal carbide and carbide ingots; plating ores; and copper-plated alloys. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Ürümqi, China. Western Region Gold Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Xinjiang NonFerrous Metal Industry (Group) Co.Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Western Region Gold Co reported revenue of ¥13.6B in FY2025 versus ¥5.5B in FY2021, a compound +25.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥472M in FY2025, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2021.
601069 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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