China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of China Natl Chem Engineering Co ¥13.33, price ¥7.16, upside +86.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.78 – ¥14.53 · fair‑value band ¥9.84 – ¥19.59 · the ¥7.16 price screens below the ¥13.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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China National Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the chemical engineering business in China.
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China National Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the chemical engineering business in China. It is involved in the contracting of construction engineering, petrochemicals, coal chemical industry, fine chemicals, pharmaceuticals, electric power, environmental ecological protection, infrastructure engineering and overseas engineering; and engineering consulting, surveying, design, construction, and project management and services. The company also engages in the provision of engineering supervision services; technology research and development and promotion of results; manufacturing and installation of complete sets of pipelines, lines and equipment; quality inspection technical services; import and export business; and machinery and equipment leasing. In addition, it is involved in investment and management of industrial equipment and infrastructure; dispatching labor personnel required for the implementation of overseas engineering projects; and sale of electrical equipment. The company was founded in 1953 and is based in Beijing, China. China National Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of China National Chemical Engineering Group Corporation Ltd.
Stock analysis
China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117) currently trades at ¥7.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.33, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥29.50 per share, and 15 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥7.16 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥4.61, and 2 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥9.84 (bear) to ¥19.59 (bull), the price of ¥7.16 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Natl Chem Engineering Co reported revenue of 190B CNY in FY2025 versus 137B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was 6.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 47.4B CNY (≈ $7.1B) · P/E ratio 6.6 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.08 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 86%, 601117 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥9.84Fair Value ¥13.33Bull ¥19.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6357 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs 6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
Compare China Natl Chem Engineering Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 822 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+84% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Natl Chem Engineering Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601117
Frequently asked questions
Is China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.33 versus a price of ¥7.16, about +86% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601117?
Our model-based fair value for China Natl Chem Engineering Co is ¥13.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.16.
What is the quality score of 601117?
China Natl Chem Engineering Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.84, optimistic scenario ¥19.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Natl Chem Engineering Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.33, about +86% upside versus a price of ¥7.16 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.84, optimistic scenario ¥19.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
China Natl Chem Engineering Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 191B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Natl Chem Engineering Co pay a dividend?
China Natl Chem Engineering Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Natl Chem Engineering Co it is ¥13.33 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.16. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Natl Chem Engineering Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 601117 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥7.16, fair value ¥13.33, a gap of about +86% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601117?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.33). For China Natl Chem Engineering Co the two are ¥6.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Natl Chem Engineering Co worth?
The market values China Natl Chem Engineering Co at about 47.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.16; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601117?
Our models span a range for China Natl Chem Engineering Co: cautious scenario ¥9.84, base ¥13.33, optimistic ¥19.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601117?
China Natl Chem Engineering Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.33 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Natl Chem Engineering Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601117 from its 52-week high?
China Natl Chem Engineering Co trades at ¥7.16, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥10.14 and at the low of ¥7.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Natl Chem Engineering Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Natl Chem Engineering Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.16, calculated fair value ¥13.33 (+86%), Quality Score 49/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601117 calculated?
We run China Natl Chem Engineering Co through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Natl Chem Engineering Co currently trades 86 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥7.16. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.33, about +86% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Natl Chem Engineering Co right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥9.84 to ¥19.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117) come from?
Earnings per share at China Natl Chem Engineering Co grew +6.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.2 %, EBIT margin −2.7 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Natl Chem Engineering Co
How large is the market capitalisation of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
The market capitalisation of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is 47.4B CNY (≈ $7.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
Earnings per share at China Natl Chem Engineering Co are ¥1.08 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
The dividend yield of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is 2.9% (payout 19.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
The net margin of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
The operating margin of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
Revenue at China Natl Chem Engineering Co is growing +3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117)?
Earnings per share at China Natl Chem Engineering Co are growing +8.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117) generate?
The free cash flow of China Natl Chem Engineering Co is −1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Natl Chem Engineering Co (601117) hold?
China Natl Chem Engineering Co holds more cash than debt, 13.9B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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