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Seres Group (601127) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 94.6B CNY

SG Seres Group 601127 · SHG
Price¥57.11
Fair Value¥68.20
Upside+19.4%
Quality40/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.97% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range ¥51.14 – ¥93.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥51.14 to ¥93.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ¥51.14 (bear) to ¥93.36 (bull), base ¥68.20. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 40/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥171.57 ¥16.60 Fair Value ¥68.20 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.60 – ¥171.57 · fair‑value band ¥51.14 – ¥93.36 · the ¥57.11 price screens below the ¥68.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Seres Group (601127) currently trades at ¥57.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥68.20, implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Seres Group generated revenue of 172B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 34.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 43.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥51.14 (bear case) to ¥93.36 (bull case); at ¥57.11, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 19%, 601127 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥290.89 ¥527.07 ¥914.09 80
Residual Income ¥24.78 ¥32.13 ¥85.85 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥167.94 ¥232.53 ¥369.84 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥306.05 ¥452.28 ¥917.93 38
Owner Earnings ¥113.29 ¥192.65 ¥359.25 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥158.44 ¥209.27 ¥313.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥179.56 ¥252.00 ¥393.03 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥162.19 ¥252.67 ¥367.98 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥201.03 ¥316.18 ¥369.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥218.55 ¥361.68 ¥591.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥205.87 ¥324.26 ¥500.33 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥24.80 ¥172.95 ¥242.70 54
Lynch FV ¥87.69 ¥125.27 ¥162.85 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥87.69 ¥125.27 ¥162.85 46
EPV ¥94.81 ¥102.09 ¥108.47 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥12.48 ¥25.95 ¥41.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥12.48 ¥21.88 ¥27.23 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥54.70 ¥72.94 ¥91.17 63
P/S Multiple ¥46.50 ¥62.00 ¥77.50 58
P/B Multiple ¥46.50 ¥62.00 ¥77.50 55
EV/EBIT ¥119.95 ¥142.91 ¥165.86 53
EV/EBITDA ¥128.79 ¥154.70 ¥180.60 54
EV/Revenue ¥97.50 ¥117.40 ¥137.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥12.53 ¥16.78 ¥25.05 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥290.89 ¥527.07 ¥914.09 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥167.94 ¥232.53 ¥369.84 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥24.78 ¥32.13 ¥85.85 76
ROIC Compounder ¥94.81 ¥102.09 ¥108.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥113.37 ¥161.96 ¥210.55 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥252.67) versus Asset-Based (¥16.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 172B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.5%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 18.5%
Free cash flow 24.7B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.8
More key figures
Operating margin 3.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥3.60
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -14.0%
Net cash 43.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 5
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Seres Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sales, and servicing of new energy vehicles and components in China and internationally. It offers vehicles, powertrains, batteries, and electric motors. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Seres Group Co.,Ltd.

Full company description

Seres Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sales, and servicing of new energy vehicles and components in China and internationally. It offers vehicles, powertrains, batteries, and electric motors. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Seres Group Co.,Ltd. in July 2022. Seres Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Seres Group reported revenue of ¥165B in FY2025 versus ¥16.7B in FY2021, a compound +77.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥6.0B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
165B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+69.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+63.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+22.4%
Revenue +77.3%/yr
FY21 ¥16.7B
FY22 ¥34.1B
FY23 ¥35.8B
FY24 ¥145B
FY25 ¥165B
Net income
FY21 −¥1.8B
FY22 −¥3.8B
FY23 −¥2.4B
FY24 ¥5.9B
FY25 ¥6.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seres Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601127

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 26
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 74 · sector 17
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 46

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $179.76 $224.63 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$80.55 HK$50.85 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 425,000 KRW 616,918 KRW +45%
General Motors Company GM $77.72 $56.93 -27%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,944 MXN +54%
Ferrari N.V RACE $376.64 $228.05 -39%
Ford Motor Company F C$11.86 C$4.00 -66%
Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ C$20.44 C$35.15 +72%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,191 CZK +235%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,803 ₹8,236 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Seres Group (601127) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥68.20 versus a price of ¥57.11, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601127?
Our model-based fair value for Seres Group is ¥68.20 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥57.11.
What is the quality score of 601127?
Seres Group has a Quality Score of 40/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Seres Group (601127)?
Seres Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 172B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601127?
The net profit margin of Seres Group is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Seres Group pay a dividend?
Seres Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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