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Triangle Tyre Co (601163) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 10.6B CNY

TT Triangle Tyre Co 601163 · SHG
Price¥13.23
Fair Value¥18.41
Upside+39.2%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.01% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range ¥13.83 – ¥24.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥19.32 to ¥18.41 (−4.7%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥13.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.93 ¥9.92 Fair Value ¥18.41 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.92 – ¥18.93 · fair‑value band ¥13.83 – ¥24.32 · the ¥13.23 price screens below the ¥18.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Triangle Tyre Co (601163) currently trades at ¥13.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.41, implying the stock looks roughly 39.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Triangle Tyre Co generated revenue of 10.0B CNY at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.83 (bear case) to ¥24.32 (bull case); at ¥13.23, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 39%, 601163 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥13.29 ¥16.82 ¥22.58 80
Residual Income ¥13.98 ¥14.60 ¥15.32 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.00 ¥16.15 ¥21.11 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.92 ¥16.57 ¥22.96 38
Owner Earnings ¥19.06 ¥24.98 ¥35.37 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥12.00 ¥15.98 ¥21.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.18 ¥19.72 ¥26.71 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥17.08 ¥24.70 ¥33.30 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.02 ¥15.57 ¥19.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.61 ¥18.05 ¥23.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥15.40 ¥21.35 ¥27.62 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.84 ¥14.21 ¥17.55 54
EPV ¥10.73 ¥12.01 ¥13.13 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥19.03 ¥25.38 ¥31.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥11.05 ¥14.73 ¥18.41 58
P/B Multiple ¥14.71 ¥19.61 ¥24.51 55
EV/EBIT ¥16.46 ¥20.93 ¥25.39 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.76 ¥21.33 ¥25.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥12.10 ¥15.97 ¥19.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.72 ¥11.68 ¥17.43 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥13.29 ¥16.82 ¥22.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.00 ¥16.15 ¥21.11 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.98 ¥14.60 ¥15.32 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.73 ¥12.01 ¥13.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.44 ¥19.20 ¥24.96 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥19.61) versus Asset-Based (¥11.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 10.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.0%
Net margin 9.7%
Return on equity 7.0%
Free cash flow 772M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.21
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.6%
Net cash 1.2B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Triangle Tyre Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, and marketing of tire products in China. The company's products include passenger tires, engineering tires, jumbo tires, truck and bus tires, off-the-road tires, commercial vehicle tires, and radial tires, as well as specialty tires.

Full company description

Triangle Tyre Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, and marketing of tire products in China. The company's products include passenger tires, engineering tires, jumbo tires, truck and bus tires, off-the-road tires, commercial vehicle tires, and radial tires, as well as specialty tires. It provides its products through branches, as well as dealers and online in North America, the Americas, Europe, Russia, Australia, the Middle East, Africa, and Southeast Asia. The company was founded in 1976 and is based in Weihai, China. Triangle Tyre Co.,Ltd is a subsidiary of Triangle Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Triangle Tyre Co reported revenue of ¥9.8B in FY2025 versus ¥9.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥923M in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+1.6%
Revenue +2.3%/yr
FY21 ¥9.0B
FY22 ¥9.2B
FY23 ¥10.4B
FY24 ¥10.2B
FY25 ¥9.8B
Net income +11.3%/yr
FY21 ¥600M
FY22 ¥738M
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥923M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Triangle Tyre Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601163

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +39% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.05× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 17
FUTURE 50 · sector 23
PAST 28 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 60 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Triangle Tyre Co (601163) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.41 versus a price of ¥13.23, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601163?
Our model-based fair value for Triangle Tyre Co is ¥18.41 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.23.
What is the quality score of 601163?
Triangle Tyre Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Triangle Tyre Co (601163)?
Triangle Tyre Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601163?
The net profit margin of Triangle Tyre Co is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Triangle Tyre Co pay a dividend?
Triangle Tyre Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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