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Ming Yang Smart Energy Group (601615) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 26.2B CNY

MY Ming Yang Smart Energy Group 601615 · SHG
Price¥11.60
Fair Value¥7.71
Upside-33.5%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
1.61% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.82 – ¥7.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥7.80 to ¥7.71 (−1.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +11.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥34.61 ¥8.11 Fair Value ¥7.71 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.11 – ¥34.61 · fair‑value band ¥5.82 – ¥7.71 · the ¥11.60 price screens above the ¥7.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Ming Yang Smart Energy Group (601615) currently trades at ¥11.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.71, implying the stock looks roughly 33.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ming Yang Smart Energy Group generated revenue of 39.1B CNY at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at 6.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.82 (bear case) to ¥7.71 (bull case); at ¥11.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -34%, 601615 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.31 ¥7.97 ¥6.50 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.41 ¥4.20 ¥4.88 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.10 ¥8.71 ¥11.32 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.98 ¥13.84 ¥19.42 54
Lynch FV ¥4.62 ¥6.60 ¥8.58 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.62 ¥6.60 ¥8.58 46
EPV ¥3.41 ¥4.20 ¥4.88 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.60 ¥6.13 ¥7.66 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.72 ¥4.96 ¥6.20 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.72 ¥4.96 ¥6.20 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.71 ¥8.04 ¥10.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.03 ¥15.14 ¥19.25 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.70 ¥5.84 ¥7.99 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.82 ¥7.80 ¥11.64 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.31 ¥7.97 ¥6.50 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.41 ¥4.20 ¥4.88 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.10 ¥8.71 ¥11.32 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥8.71) versus Economic Profit (¥4.20). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 39.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.4%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 1.5%
Free cash flow −8.1B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 61.1
More key figures
Operating margin 1.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1900
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -92.3%
Net debt 6.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ming Yang Smart Energy Group Limited engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, sale, maintenance, and operation of energy equipment, wind turbines, and core components in China.

Full company description

Ming Yang Smart Energy Group Limited engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, sale, maintenance, and operation of energy equipment, wind turbines, and core components in China. It offers onshore and offshore wind turbines; manufactures fan blades; offshore wind power technology; sells platforms; wind power equipment; wind power project investment; photovoltaic products; energy project development; develops and operates wind power; power generation and electricity sales; technology development and service; engineering design and construction; and software and technical services. The company also offers blades, gearboxes, inverter systems, control systems, booster systems, and flexible DC output systems; and floating offshore wind platforms, and integrated solutions for wind, solar, storage, hydrogen, and gas. Ming Yang Smart Energy Group Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in Zhongshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ming Yang Smart Energy Group reported revenue of ¥38.1B in FY2025 versus ¥27.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥660M in FY2025, compounding −32.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
38.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+40.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+28.6%
Revenue +8.8%/yr
FY21 ¥27.2B
FY22 ¥30.7B
FY23 ¥28.1B
FY24 ¥27.2B
FY25 ¥38.1B
Net income −32.4%/yr
FY21 ¥3.2B
FY22 ¥3.4B
FY23 ¥377M
FY24 ¥346M
FY25 ¥660M

601615 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ming Yang Smart Energy Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601615

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.00× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 62 · sector 23
PAST 6 · sector 28
HEALTH 74 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ming Yang Smart Energy Group (601615) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.71 versus a price of ¥11.60, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601615?
Our model-based fair value for Ming Yang Smart Energy Group is ¥7.71 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.60.
What is the quality score of 601615?
Ming Yang Smart Energy Group has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ming Yang Smart Energy Group (601615)?
Ming Yang Smart Energy Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 39.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601615?
The net profit margin of Ming Yang Smart Energy Group is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ming Yang Smart Energy Group pay a dividend?
Ming Yang Smart Energy Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.53% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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