China Design Group (603018) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥8.42 to ¥7.03 (−16.5%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from ¥5.27 (bear) to ¥8.79 (bull), base ¥7.03. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.98 – ¥11.31 · fair‑value band ¥5.27 – ¥8.79 · the ¥5.25 price screens below the ¥7.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
China Design Group (603018) currently trades at ¥5.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.03, implying the stock looks roughly 33.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Design Group generated revenue of 4.1B CNY at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.27 (bear case) to ¥8.79 (bull case); at ¥5.25, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 34%, 603018 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Design Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering survey and design services in China. The company offers engineering consulting services, including survey and design, planning research, and engineering management; and system integration and software development services.
Full company description
China Design Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering survey and design services in China. The company offers engineering consulting services, including survey and design, planning research, and engineering management; and system integration and software development services. It also engages in strategic and urban planning; highway; urban expressway; bridges and tunnels; waterways and ports; hydraulics; architecture and landscape; railway; metro; smart industry; engineering, procurement, and construction; survey; environmental; innovation; and agriculture businesses. In addition, the company engages in system development tools; investment management; sale of merchandise and food; printing services; project consultancy; new material technology promotion; commodity circulation; property management and leasing; agricultural production; business technology research and development, and operation management; and engineering technology research and experimental development activities. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Province Communications Planning and Design Institute Limited Company and changed its name to China Design Group Co., Ltd. in July 2016. China Design Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Design Group reported revenue of ¥4.1B in FY2025 versus ¥5.8B in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥274M in FY2025, compounding −18.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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