Guangzhou Restaurant Group (603043) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 7.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥18.88 to ¥18.93 (+0.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 40% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥12.84 to ¥23.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.40 – ¥30.27 · fair‑value band ¥12.84 – ¥23.66 · the ¥13.54 price screens below the ¥18.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou Restaurant Group (603043) currently trades at ¥13.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.93, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Restaurant Group generated revenue of 5.5B CNY at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at 104M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.84 (bear case) to ¥23.66 (bull case); at ¥13.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 40%, 603043 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥19.25) versus Asset-Based (¥4.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangzhou Restaurant Group Company Limited engages in food manufacturing and catering business in China and internationally. The company also owns and operates restaurants.
Full company description
Guangzhou Restaurant Group Company Limited engages in food manufacturing and catering business in China and internationally. The company also owns and operates restaurants. It primarily offers moon cake, quick-frozen snacks, Cantonese cured meat, pre-lotus seed paste filling, rice dumplings, Western cake and bread, and snack foods; cold chain products of Cantonese dim sum, such as walnut, lava bun, barbecued pork bun, and shrimp dumplings; pre-prepared dish, pot dish, pigeon series, salt-baked chicken, and Cantonese soup; and Cantonese sausages, Chinese pastries, cakes, Dragon Boat Festival rice dumplings, etc. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China. Guangzhou Restaurant Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Guangzhou Urban Construction Investment Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Restaurant Group reported revenue of ¥5.4B in FY2025 versus ¥3.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥488M in FY2025, compounding −3.3%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 603043: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
Compare Guangzhou Restaurant Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangzhou Restaurant Group (603043) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 603043?
What is the quality score of 603043?
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Restaurant Group (603043)?
What is the net profit margin of 603043?
Does Guangzhou Restaurant Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Guangzhou Restaurant Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.