Xinjiang Torch Gas Co (603080) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥26.82 to ¥16.87 (−37.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥12.66 (bear) to ¥20.84 (bull), base ¥16.87. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.99 – ¥27.57 · fair‑value band ¥12.66 – ¥20.84 · the ¥19.16 price screens above the ¥16.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Xinjiang Torch Gas Co (603080) currently trades at ¥19.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.87, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Torch Gas Co generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 246M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.66 (bear case) to ¥20.84 (bull case); at ¥19.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -12%, 603080 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥45.54) versus Asset-Based (¥7.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd operates as a gas service company in China. The company engages in the natural gas transmission, distribution, and sales; operation and management of gas station; urban heating supply; operation and management of taxi; and provision of gas facility and equipment installation services.
Full company description
Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd operates as a gas service company in China. The company engages in the natural gas transmission, distribution, and sales; operation and management of gas station; urban heating supply; operation and management of taxi; and provision of gas facility and equipment installation services. It also holds the urban natural gas pipeline business. Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd was founded in 2003 and is based in Kashgar, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinjiang Torch Gas Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥900M in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥211M in FY2025, compounding +19.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +17.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
603080 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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