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Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co (603111) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY

NK Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co 603111 · SHG
Price¥5.77
Fair Value¥8.56
Upside+48.4%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.18% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.42 – ¥10.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 48% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.33 ¥4.04 Fair Value ¥8.56 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.04 – ¥8.33 · fair‑value band ¥6.42 – ¥10.70 · the ¥5.77 price screens below the ¥8.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co (603111) currently trades at ¥5.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.56, implying the stock looks roughly 48.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co generated revenue of 4.2B CNY at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 970M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.42 (bear case) to ¥10.70 (bull case); at ¥5.77, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 48%, 603111 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥10.41 ¥15.83 ¥24.10 80
Residual Income ¥3.96 ¥4.28 ¥4.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.56 ¥10.96 ¥15.12 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.39 ¥16.09 ¥24.99 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.40 ¥9.55 ¥14.48 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.56 ¥10.92 ¥15.22 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.17 ¥12.11 ¥16.79 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.34 ¥12.44 ¥16.88 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.36 ¥11.73 ¥16.38 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.89 ¥12.56 ¥17.60 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.00 ¥12.79 ¥17.66 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.77 ¥10.67 ¥14.46 54
Lynch FV ¥2.61 ¥3.72 ¥4.84 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.61 ¥3.72 ¥4.84 46
EPV ¥5.73 ¥6.41 ¥6.99 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.26 ¥4.49 ¥6.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.26 ¥3.88 ¥4.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.42 ¥8.56 ¥10.70 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.20 ¥6.93 ¥8.66 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.20 ¥6.93 ¥8.66 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.12 ¥10.35 ¥12.57 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.58 ¥9.63 ¥11.68 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.21 ¥8.25 ¥10.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.35 ¥3.15 ¥4.71 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.41 ¥15.83 ¥24.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.56 ¥10.96 ¥15.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.96 ¥4.28 ¥4.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.04 ¥7.43 ¥9.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.71 ¥6.73 ¥8.75 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.11) versus Asset-Based (¥3.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.9%
Net margin 8.4%
Return on equity 8.8%
Free cash flow 673M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.7
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net cash 970M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and maintenance of railway vehicle door systems in China.

Full company description

Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and maintenance of railway vehicle door systems in China. The company offers mass transit vehicle doors, including electrically driven bi-parting and single-leaf sliding plug, electrically driven bi-parting external tightness and pocket sliding, manual pocket sliding, hinged, manual sliding plug, and external emergency front doors, as well as upturned hinged emergency front door/emergency stairs and rear end doors for cabs. It also provides main line vehicle doors, such as electrically controlled pneumatically driven pocket sliding and sliding plug, electrically controlled electrically driven sliding plug and sliding, manually operated sliding plug, manual operated hinged/sliding, inflatable sealing sliding plug, and manual sliding door/manually operated hinged door/manually operated swing doors. In addition, the company offers platform screen doors comprising full and half-height platform screen door systems for railway stations; and vehicle interior fittings that include partition of VIP rooms, central ceilings/ventilation grids, longitudinal transoms, partition walls/electrical cubicle covers of cab, side walls/side ceilings, side windows, and handrails and screens, as well as bus doors. Further, the company provides new energy products for automobile industry; and electrical, mechanism driving, door leaf, and operating parts, as well as after sales and maintenance services. It also exports its products to the United States, France, Canada, Turkey, Singapore, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Brazil. Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co.,Ltd was founded in 2000 and is based in Nanjing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co reported revenue of ¥4.2B in FY2025 versus ¥3.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥351M in FY2025, compounding −1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+13.9%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 ¥3.5B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥3.5B
FY24 ¥4.0B
FY25 ¥4.2B
Net income −1.3%/yr
FY21 ¥370M
FY22 ¥268M
FY23 ¥349M
FY24 ¥351M
FY25 ¥351M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603111

Peer Group

Railroads · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +48% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.23× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 98 · sector 28
FUTURE 20 · sector 20
PAST 35 · sector 31
HEALTH 99 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $301.75 $144.60 -52%
CSX Corporation CSX $49.41 $12.85 -74%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $92.91 $35.00 -62%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $128.22 $92.63 -28%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $327.47 $117.90 -64%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $259.71 $144.80 -44%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥4.82 ¥5.65 +17%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.65 ¥9.53 +69%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.85 ¥6.24 +29%
Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 167,700 KRW 125,182 KRW -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co (603111) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.56 versus a price of ¥5.77, about +48% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 603111?
Our model-based fair value for Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co is ¥8.56 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.77.
What is the quality score of 603111?
Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co (603111)?
Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603111?
The net profit margin of Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co is about 8.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co pay a dividend?
Nanjing Kangni Mechanical & Electrical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.18% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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