Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation (603197) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 6.4B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥27.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥22.57 – ¥70.41 · fair‑value band ¥16.40 – ¥27.33 · the ¥29.90 price screens above the ¥21.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation (603197) currently trades at ¥29.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.86, implying the stock looks roughly 26.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation generated revenue of 9.1B CNY at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at 3.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.40 (bear case) to ¥27.33 (bull case); at ¥29.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -27%, 603197 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥28.10) versus Asset-Based (¥10.18). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation manufactures and sells automotive parts and components. It provides automotive rubber and metal parts, including traditional and tire pressure monitoring system valves; electronically controlled air suspension system; automotive metal tubing, such as exhaust pipes, EGR pipes, roof rail, and metal brackets; automotive …

Full company description

Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation manufactures and sells automotive parts and components. It provides automotive rubber and metal parts, including traditional and tire pressure monitoring system valves; electronically controlled air suspension system; automotive metal tubing, such as exhaust pipes, EGR pipes, roof rail, and metal brackets; automotive structural parts; tire pressure monitoring system; automotive sensors, that includes pressure rain and light, speed and position, current, and accelerator sensors; intelligent drive solutions; and automotive aftermarket and equipment products. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation reported revenue of ¥8.7B in FY2025 versus ¥3.9B in FY2021, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥213M in FY2025, compounding −5.7%/yr from FY2021.

603197 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.