Jiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co (603269) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥10.04 to ¥7.87 (−21.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.23 – ¥24.51 · fair‑value band ¥5.90 – ¥9.84 · the ¥14.12 price screens above the ¥7.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co (603269) currently trades at ¥14.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.87, implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 32.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 155M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.90 (bear case) to ¥9.84 (bull case); at ¥14.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -44%, 603269 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.39) versus Asset-Based (¥2.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co.,Ltd. engages in design, research and development, manufacturing, and installation of cooling towers in China and internationally.
Full company description
Jiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co.,Ltd. engages in design, research and development, manufacturing, and installation of cooling towers in China and internationally. It offers industrial and civil mechanical ventilation cooling towers, including steel-concrete structure, glass fiber reinforced plastic structure, steel structure, open-type environmental protection, energy-saving cooling, water-saving, fog elimination, noise reduction, integrated, closed cooling, and air conditioning cooling towers, as well as packaged, plume abatement, force draft, and other cooling tower related products. The company also provides FRP, concrete, water collection, blast, seawater, and counterflow cooling tower; and components, such as carbon fiber drive shaft, drive eliminator, fan stack, gearbox, grid filler, heat transfer media, horizontal fan assembly, motor, nozzle, and sprinkler. It serves customers in petrochemical, metallurgy, electric power, grain and oil, papermaking, hotels, office buildings, and other fields. Jiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Changzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥116M in FY2025, compounding +21.6%/yr from FY2021.
603269 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 810 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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