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Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC (603758) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.6B CNY

CQ Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC 603758 · SHG
Price¥10.48
Fair Value¥7.49
Upside-28.5%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.62 – ¥9.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price +8.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥19.49 ¥5.51 Fair Value ¥7.49 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.51 – ¥19.49 · fair‑value band ¥5.62 – ¥9.36 · the ¥10.48 price screens above the ¥7.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC (603758) currently trades at ¥10.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.49, implying the stock looks roughly 28.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 23.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.62 (bear case) to ¥9.36 (bull case); at ¥10.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -29%, 603758 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.56 ¥6.89 ¥9.22 80
Residual Income ¥4.58 ¥4.73 ¥4.71 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.37 ¥5.58 ¥7.14 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.40 ¥6.77 ¥9.40 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.04 ¥7.62 ¥10.65 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.37 ¥5.49 ¥7.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.11 ¥8.46 ¥11.65 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.85 ¥8.02 ¥10.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.68 ¥5.65 ¥6.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.79 ¥7.52 ¥9.44 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.64 ¥7.25 ¥8.85 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.32 ¥3.47 ¥4.12 54
EPV ¥3.64 ¥4.01 ¥4.33 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.57 ¥2.94 ¥3.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.57 ¥3.30 ¥4.22 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.62 ¥7.49 ¥9.36 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.77 ¥3.70 ¥4.62 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.34 ¥5.79 ¥7.24 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.87 ¥7.38 ¥8.90 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.42 ¥9.46 ¥11.50 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.90 ¥5.01 ¥6.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.93 ¥3.93 ¥5.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.56 ¥6.89 ¥9.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.37 ¥5.58 ¥7.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.58 ¥4.73 ¥4.71 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.64 ¥4.01 ¥4.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.96 ¥5.66 ¥7.36 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.25) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.2%
Net margin 9.9%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow 189M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 32.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200
EPS growth (YoY) -37.5%
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC., together with its subsidiary, engages in the research, development, production and sales of core components of automobile engines, key components of transmissions, new energy hybrid drive systems and other products in China.

Full company description

Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC., together with its subsidiary, engages in the research, development, production and sales of core components of automobile engines, key components of transmissions, new energy hybrid drive systems and other products in China. It offers automobile engine, including cylinder blocks, cylinder heads, and crankshafts; transmission key components, such as housings, shells and hybrid transmission housings, extended-range engine cylinder heads and cylinder blocks; and pure electric vehicle motor housings, torque converter housings and other products. Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chongqing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥149M in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+4.6%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 ¥1.4B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.7B
FY24 ¥1.6B
FY25 ¥1.4B
Net income +9.9%/yr
FY21 ¥103M
FY22 ¥181M
FY23 ¥261M
FY24 ¥173M
FY25 ¥149M

603758 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603758

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 22 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC (603758) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.49 versus a price of ¥10.48, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603758?
Our model-based fair value for Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC is ¥7.49 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.48.
What is the quality score of 603758?
Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC (603758)?
Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603758?
The net profit margin of Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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