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Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co (603767) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY

ZZ Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co 603767 · SHG
Price¥14.95
Fair Value¥7.18
Upside-52.0%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.10 – ¥8.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥6.31 to ¥7.18 (+13.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥36.93 ¥5.33 Fair Value ¥7.18 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.33 – ¥36.93 · fair‑value band ¥6.10 – ¥8.26 · the ¥14.95 price screens above the ¥7.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co (603767) currently trades at ¥14.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.18, implying the stock looks roughly 52.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co generated revenue of 917M CNY at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 438M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.10 (bear case) to ¥8.26 (bull case); at ¥14.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -52%, 603767 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.00 ¥7.49 ¥9.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.83 ¥4.49 ¥5.27 74
ROIC Compounder ¥2.53 ¥2.68 ¥2.82 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.86 ¥7.44 ¥9.76 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.41 ¥4.10 ¥5.10 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.83 ¥4.41 ¥5.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.16 ¥6.72 ¥8.51 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.56 ¥5.20 ¥5.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.40 ¥6.71 ¥8.21 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.53 ¥2.68 ¥2.82 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.76 ¥2.45 ¥3.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.76 ¥2.42 ¥3.17 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥3.17 ¥3.71 ¥4.25 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.21 ¥6.43 ¥7.65 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.64 ¥3.11 ¥3.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.20 ¥2.95 ¥4.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.00 ¥7.49 ¥9.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.83 ¥4.49 ¥5.27 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.53 ¥2.68 ¥2.82 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.20) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 917M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.3%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity -0.4%
Free cash flow 135M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 3.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0200
Net cash 438M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive transmissions and vehicle gears in China and internationally.

Full company description

Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive transmissions and vehicle gears in China and internationally. The company offers automotive transmissions, new energy vehicle reducers, electronically controlled transfer cases, motorcycle gear, and agricultural machinery gear; and automobile gear, including automobile manual transmission gear, wheel and automatic transmission gear, new energy vehicle reducer gear, automotive steering gear, automotive oil pump shaft gear, and automotive engines, as well as motorcycle engine gears, and agricultural machinery transmission gears. Its products are used in light vehicles, such as pickup trucks, SUVs, MPVs, light buses, light logistics vehicles, A0 and A00 class passenger cars, mid-to-high-end automobile gear, motorcycle gear, and agricultural machinery gear applications. Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Wenling, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co reported revenue of ¥913M in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥5.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
913M CNY
Latest YoY
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+7.2%
Revenue −5.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥996M
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥908M
FY25 ¥913M
Net income
FY21 ¥63.7M
FY22 ¥42.2M
FY23 ¥72.8M
FY24 ¥33.2M
FY25 −¥5.8M

603767 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603767

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 12 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co (603767) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.18 versus a price of ¥14.95, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603767?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co is ¥7.18 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.95.
What is the quality score of 603767?
Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co (603767)?
Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 917M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603767?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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