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Changqing Machinery Company (603768) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY

Price¥10.04
Fair Value¥6.25
Upside-37.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.60 – ¥10.79

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Changqing Machinery Company (603768) currently trades at ¥10.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.25 — implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Changqing Machinery Company Limited produces and sells stamping and welding parts for automobile parts primarily in China. The company offers powertrain, chassis, and body products and accessories; and electronic appliances, molds, and general parts. Its products are used in passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other vehicles. Changqing Machinery Company Limited was founded in 2004 and is based in Hefei, China.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changqing Machinery Company (603768) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.25 versus a price of ¥10.04 — about −38% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 603768?
Our 21-model fair value for Changqing Machinery Company is ¥6.25 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.04.
What is the quality score of 603768?
Changqing Machinery Company has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.