Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co (603867) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 8.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −6.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥10.78 to ¥20.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.52 – ¥42.15 · fair‑value band ¥10.78 – ¥20.01 · the ¥29.06 price screens above the ¥15.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co (603867) currently trades at ¥29.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.70, implying the stock looks roughly 46.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co generated revenue of 3.0B CNY at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at 13.8M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.78 (bear case) to ¥20.01 (bull case); at ¥29.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -46%, 603867 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥20.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd manufactures and trades in various chemicals and chemical raw material in China and internationally. It offers fatty amines, organic solvents, flavors, hydrogen peroxide organic amine series, inorganic chemicals, and custom chemicals.
Full company description
Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd manufactures and trades in various chemicals and chemical raw material in China and internationally. It offers fatty amines, organic solvents, flavors, hydrogen peroxide organic amine series, inorganic chemicals, and custom chemicals. The company also offers aroma chemicals, such as turpentine oil derivatives, sandal series, ester series, and others flame retardants; and peroxide series, synthetic ammonia, and other fine chemicals. Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd was formerly known as Jiande City Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd in June 2008. The company was founded in 1967 and is based in Jiande, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥260M in FY2025, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2021.
603867 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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