Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co (603901) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥6.84 to ¥5.00 (−26.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.54 – ¥18.51 · fair‑value band ¥3.75 – ¥6.25 · the ¥9.55 price screens above the ¥5.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co (603901) currently trades at ¥9.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.00, implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co generated revenue of 4.1B CNY at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 527M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.75 (bear case) to ¥6.25 (bull case); at ¥9.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -48%, 603901 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.56) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, production and sales of packaging equipment and supporting packaging materials worldwide.
Full company description
Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, production and sales of packaging equipment and supporting packaging materials worldwide. The company offers vacuum packaging machines, labeling machines, shrink wrappers, carton sealers, strapping machines, battery strapping tools, strapping tools, palletizers, wrapping machines, carton packers, packing lines, PP/PET straps, stretch films/shrink films, conveyors, cartoning machines, robots, vertical packaging machines, tea/coffee bag VFFS machines, filling and capping machines, can filler seamer machines, full automatic can unloaders, pasteurizers, pre-mixers, blow molding machines, and bottle washers. It also provides case packers and sealers, case erectors, and belt/roller conveyors, as well as customized packing production lines. In addition, the company offers various software systems, such as intelligent equipment human-computer interaction, production line control, AI visual inspection, production process control, production execution management, and product traceability systems. Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co reported revenue of ¥4.0B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥137M in FY2025, compounding −14.9%/yr from FY2021.
603901 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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