EN DE

Comefly Outdoor Co (603908) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 1.8B CNY

CO Comefly Outdoor Co 603908 · SHG
Price¥18.91
Fair Value¥7.12
Upside-62.4%
Quality57/100
Watch Comefly Outdoor Co for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.29 – ¥8.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥8.43 to ¥7.12 (−15.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥107.52 ¥15.87 Fair Value ¥7.12 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥15.87 – ¥107.52 · fair‑value band ¥5.29 – ¥8.95 · the ¥18.91 price screens above the ¥7.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Comefly Outdoor Co (603908) currently trades at ¥18.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.12, implying the stock looks roughly 62.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Comefly Outdoor Co generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of -3.4%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.6%. Net debt stands at 19.3M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.29 (bear case) to ¥8.95 (bull case); at ¥18.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -62%, 603908 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥10.96 ¥14.21 ¥18.23 72
Gordon GGM ¥5.40 ¥9.73 ¥13.40 70
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.78 ¥10.07 ¥12.73 67
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.88 ¥14.60 ¥19.48 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.78 ¥9.94 ¥12.56 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.10 ¥12.38 ¥16.10 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.89 ¥11.04 ¥13.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.75 ¥12.58 ¥16.13 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥3.81 ¥4.03 ¥4.21 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.40 ¥9.73 ¥13.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.40 ¥8.23 ¥10.40 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥7.67 ¥9.50 ¥11.33 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.65 ¥10.81 ¥12.97 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.88 ¥7.47 ¥9.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.51 ¥3.36 ¥5.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.96 ¥14.21 ¥18.23 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.78 ¥10.07 ¥12.73 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥3.81 ¥4.03 ¥4.21 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.38) versus Asset-Based (¥3.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Notify me when 603908 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.8%
Net margin -3.4%
Return on equity -6.6%
Free cash flow 87.3M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 12.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4800
EPS growth (YoY) -33.3%
Net debt 19.3M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd., designs, develops, manufactures and sells camping tents, outdoor clothing, and other outdoor products under the MOBIGARDEN and MOBIGARDENURBAN brands in China. It exports its products to Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and the United States. Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd., designs, develops, manufactures and sells camping tents, outdoor clothing, and other outdoor products under the MOBIGARDEN and MOBIGARDENURBAN brands in China. It exports its products to Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and the United States. Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Quzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Comefly Outdoor Co reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥923M in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥34.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B CNY
Latest YoY
−22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Revenue +2.3%/yr
FY21 ¥923M
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥1.0B
Net income
FY21 ¥78.6M
FY22 ¥141M
FY23 ¥107M
FY24 ¥83.8M
FY25 −¥34.2M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.5 pp

of which total revenue +14.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.5 pp

EBIT margin −3.6 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

603908 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Comefly Outdoor Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603908

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.57× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 163.45 kr 165.47 +1%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $374.08 $224.21 -40%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €52.08 €50.69 -3%
LPP SA LPP 19,380 PLN 17,754 PLN -8%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.88 HK$5.92 +21%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.57 ¥5.59 -26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹39,900 ₹12,395 -69%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.05 ¥9.92 +64%
Eclat Textile Co 1476 333.50 TWD 357.81 TWD +7%
Youngone Corporation 111770 87,600 KRW 196,629 KRW +124%

Compare Comefly Outdoor Co with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Comefly Outdoor Co (603908) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.12 versus a price of ¥18.91, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603908?
Our model-based fair value for Comefly Outdoor Co is ¥7.12 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥18.91.
What is the quality score of 603908?
Comefly Outdoor Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Comefly Outdoor Co (603908)?
Comefly Outdoor Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603908?
The net profit margin of Comefly Outdoor Co is about -3.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Comefly Outdoor Co and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.