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C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co (603909) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY

CD C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co 603909 · SHG
Price¥9.41
Fair Value¥8.80
Upside-6.5%
Quality56/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.58% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.60 – ¥11.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥13.32 to ¥8.80 (−33.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥6.60 (bear) to ¥11.00 (bull), base ¥8.80. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.90 ¥6.75 Fair Value ¥8.80 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.75 – ¥14.90 · fair‑value band ¥6.60 – ¥11.00 · the ¥9.41 price screens above the ¥8.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co (603909) currently trades at ¥9.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.80, implying the stock looks roughly 6.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co generated revenue of 7.9B CNY at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.60 (bear case) to ¥11.00 (bull case); at ¥9.41, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -6%, 603909 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥29.36 ¥50.82 ¥85.40 80
Residual Income ¥3.78 ¥4.14 ¥5.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.16 ¥25.32 ¥40.51 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥30.90 ¥44.55 ¥87.12 38
Owner Earnings ¥12.75 ¥21.44 ¥39.03 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥17.13 ¥22.80 ¥34.44 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.93 ¥24.43 ¥37.05 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥17.70 ¥27.99 ¥41.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥21.22 ¥33.49 ¥39.32 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.03 ¥35.19 ¥55.91 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥21.86 ¥34.70 ¥53.98 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.85 ¥19.86 ¥27.88 54
Lynch FV ¥10.26 ¥14.66 ¥19.06 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.26 ¥14.66 ¥19.06 46
EPV ¥9.83 ¥10.50 ¥11.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.05 ¥2.10 ¥3.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.05 ¥1.81 ¥2.22 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.60 ¥8.80 ¥11.00 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.34 ¥7.12 ¥8.90 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.34 ¥7.12 ¥8.90 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.21 ¥15.74 ¥18.28 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.51 ¥14.81 ¥17.12 54
EV/Revenue ¥11.03 ¥13.36 ¥15.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.22 ¥2.97 ¥4.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥29.36 ¥50.82 ¥85.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.16 ¥25.32 ¥40.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.78 ¥4.14 ¥5.75 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.83 ¥10.50 ¥11.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.42 ¥19.18 ¥24.93 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥27.99) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.4%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow 415M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 22.1
More key figures
Operating margin 1.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4400
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net cash 1.4B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd offers engineering and technical services in China. The company engages in surveying and design, engineering management, testing and inspection, building construction, comprehensive maintenance and construction services, as well as engineering materials.

Full company description

C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd offers engineering and technical services in China. The company engages in surveying and design, engineering management, testing and inspection, building construction, comprehensive maintenance and construction services, as well as engineering materials. It offers project life cycle management consulting and technical services. The company serves transportation, municipal administration, and building construction, etc. The company was formerly known as Holsin Engineering Consulting Group Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd. in October 2022. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Xiamen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co reported revenue of ¥7.6B in FY2025 versus ¥841M in FY2021, a compound +73.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥109M in FY2025, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+82.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.4%
Revenue +73.5%/yr
FY21 ¥841M
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥3.9B
FY24 ¥6.6B
FY25 ¥7.6B
Net income +28.2%/yr
FY21 ¥40.4M
FY22 ¥56.7M
FY23 ¥65.9M
FY24 ¥95.6M
FY25 ¥109M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +3.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +37.4 pp

of which total revenue +41.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.0 pp

EBIT margin −22.6 pp
Tax rate −0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −11.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603909

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.19× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 16
FUTURE 82 · sector 17
PAST 43 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co (603909) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.80 versus a price of ¥9.41, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 603909?
Our model-based fair value for C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co is ¥8.80 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.41.
What is the quality score of 603909?
C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co (603909)?
C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603909?
The net profit margin of C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co pay a dividend?
C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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