Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Holsin Engineering Consulting ¥19.18, price ¥9.88, upside +94.1%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.75 – ¥14.90 · fair‑value band ¥13.42 – ¥24.93 · the ¥9.88 price screens below the ¥19.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd offers engineering and technical services in China. The company engages in surveying and design, engineering management, testing and inspection, building construction, comprehensive maintenance and construction services, as well as engineering materials.
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C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd offers engineering and technical services in China. The company engages in surveying and design, engineering management, testing and inspection, building construction, comprehensive maintenance and construction services, as well as engineering materials. It offers project life cycle management consulting and technical services. The company serves transportation, municipal administration, and building construction, etc. The company was formerly known as Holsin Engineering Consulting Group Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to C&D Holsin Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd. in October 2022. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Xiamen, China.
Stock analysis
Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909) currently trades at ¥9.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.18, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥26.77 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥9.88 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.97, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥13.42 (bear) to ¥24.93 (bull), the price of ¥9.88 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Holsin Engineering Consulting reported revenue of 7.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 841M CNY in FY2021, a compound +73.5%/yr. Reported net income was 109M CNY in FY2025, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B CNY (≈ $384M) · P/E ratio 22.5 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4400 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 94%, 603909 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥13.42Fair Value ¥19.18Bull ¥24.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2129 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +39.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+25.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18% vs 5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 2%
2025 sits 66% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−25.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −27.1% a year for the price.
Compare Holsin Engineering Consulting with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+94% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.18 versus a price of ¥9.88, about +94% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 603909?
Our model-based fair value for Holsin Engineering Consulting is ¥19.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.88.
What is the quality score of 603909?
Holsin Engineering Consulting has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥19.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥13.42, optimistic scenario ¥24.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Holsin Engineering Consulting stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥19.18, about +94% upside versus a price of ¥9.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥13.42, optimistic scenario ¥24.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
Holsin Engineering Consulting reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Holsin Engineering Consulting pay a dividend?
Holsin Engineering Consulting currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Holsin Engineering Consulting would have to grow free cash flow by -25.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +57.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 603909 use?
Our models discount Holsin Engineering Consulting at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Holsin Engineering Consulting that is -25.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Holsin Engineering Consulting grew +57.1 % a year. The price currently implies -25.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Holsin Engineering Consulting (-25.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.10 %: that much free cash flow Holsin Engineering Consulting produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Holsin Engineering Consulting it is ¥19.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥9.88. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Holsin Engineering Consulting stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 603909 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥9.88, fair value ¥19.18, a gap of about +94% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603909?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥19.18). For Holsin Engineering Consulting the two are ¥9.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Holsin Engineering Consulting worth?
The market values Holsin Engineering Consulting at about 2.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.88; our models calculate a fair value of ¥19.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603909?
Our models span a range for Holsin Engineering Consulting: cautious scenario ¥13.42, base ¥19.18, optimistic ¥24.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥9.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603909?
Holsin Engineering Consulting trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥19.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
Balance-sheet figures for Holsin Engineering Consulting (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603909 from its 52-week high?
Holsin Engineering Consulting trades at ¥9.88, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥14.10 and 23% above the low of ¥8.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥19.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Holsin Engineering Consulting?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Holsin Engineering Consulting stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥9.88, calculated fair value ¥19.18 (+94%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603909 calculated?
We run Holsin Engineering Consulting through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥19.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Holsin Engineering Consulting currently trades 94 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥9.88. Our model-based fair value is ¥19.18, about +94% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Holsin Engineering Consulting right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥13.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥13.42 to ¥24.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909) come from?
Earnings per share at Holsin Engineering Consulting grew +3.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +37.4 %, EBIT margin −22.6 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Holsin Engineering Consulting
How large is the market capitalisation of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The market capitalisation of Holsin Engineering Consulting is 2.6B CNY (≈ $384M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Holsin Engineering Consulting is 0.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
Earnings per share at Holsin Engineering Consulting are ¥0.4400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The dividend yield of Holsin Engineering Consulting is 1.5% (payout 34.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The net margin of Holsin Engineering Consulting is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Holsin Engineering Consulting is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Holsin Engineering Consulting is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
The operating margin of Holsin Engineering Consulting is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
Revenue at Holsin Engineering Consulting is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +82.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909)?
Earnings per share at Holsin Engineering Consulting are growing +25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Holsin Engineering Consulting (603909) hold?
Holsin Engineering Consulting holds more cash than debt, 1.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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