Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A stock ¥2.06, price ¥10.06, that is 79.5% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.81 – ¥18.88 · fair‑value band ¥1.16 – ¥3.30 · the ¥10.06 price screens above the ¥2.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Jiangsu Lidao New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of aluminum products in China and internationally.
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The company is involved in the processing and manufacturing of new building decoration materials and metal materials; aluminum alloy ceiling system; sheet metal parts; and hardware processing activities.
It offers aluminum magnesium manganese roofing systems, color coated aluminum coils, and curtain wall facing panels; and finishing and cutting aluminum materials, as well as high-end colored aluminum products, welded honeycomb panels, and other materials for rail transit, new energy vehicles, military industry, petrochemical industry, shipbuilding, construction, industry, food packaging, and other industries.
The company was formerly known as Changzhou Lidao Metal Material Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Jiangsu Lidao New Materials Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Changzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937) currently trades at ¥10.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.06, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.28 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥10.06 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.3100, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.16 (bear) to ¥3.30 (bull), the price of ¥10.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 2.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −35.8M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B CNY (≈ $315M) Small · P/S ratio 1.13 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −1.8% · Return on equity −2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 1.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −80%, 603937 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.3100 to ¥4.28). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥1.16Fair Value ¥2.06Bull¥3.30
Price ¥10.06 · Downside -79.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0931 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥0.5700¥1.03¥1.6578
Growth DCF¥0.5800¥0.9800¥1.5077
5Y EBITDA Exit¥1.86¥3.53¥5.4773
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥0.5700¥1.03¥1.6578
5Y Revenue Exit¥0.2500¥0.5600¥0.940070
5Y EBITDA Exit¥1.86¥3.53¥5.4773
10Y Revenue Exit¥0.3600¥0.6500¥1.0265
10Y EBITDA Exit¥1.33¥2.57¥4.2366
Multiples
EV/EBITDA¥3.10¥4.28¥5.4767
EV/Revenue¥0.0800¥0.3100¥0.540049
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.8400¥1.28¥1.6054
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥0.5800¥0.9800¥1.5077
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.0% (2020) → −0.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+56.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +53.9% a year for the price.
Compare Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 82 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−79.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.35× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.07× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow170.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA22.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 40
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603937
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.06 versus a price of ¥10.06, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603937?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is ¥2.06 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.06.
What is the quality score of 603937?
Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.06 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.16, optimistic scenario ¥3.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.06, about 80% lower versus a price of ¥10.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.16, optimistic scenario ¥3.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A would have to grow free cash flow by +56.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.6 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 603937 use?
Our models discount Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A that is +56.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A grew +7.6 % a year. The price currently implies +56.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (+56.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.59 %: that much free cash flow Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A it is ¥2.06 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of ¥10.06. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 603937 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.06, fair value ¥2.06, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603937?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.06). For Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥8.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A at about 2.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.06; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603937?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥1.16, base ¥2.06, optimistic ¥3.30 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price ¥10.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −2.3%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603937 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥10.06, about 47% below its 52-week high of ¥18.88 and 9% above the low of ¥9.25 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, Aluminum Corporation, China Hongqiao Group, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price ¥10.06, calculated fair value ¥2.06 (−80%), Quality Score 54/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603937 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was ¥10.06. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.06, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (¥1.16 to ¥3.30). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937) come from?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A grew −0.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.1 %, EBIT margin −0.8 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is 2.1B CNY (≈ $315M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is 1.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A are ¥0.1100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is 0.1% (payout 4.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is −1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is growing +24.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A are growing −57.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A (603937) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Lidao New Material Co Ltd Class A is 94.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 4, 2026