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Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co (603948) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY

ZJ Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co 603948 · SHG
Price¥20.68
Fair Value¥24.06
Upside+16.3%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
3.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range ¥18.04 – ¥30.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥25.97 to ¥24.06 (−7.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −13.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥18.04 (bear) to ¥30.07 (bull), base ¥24.06. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥36.34 ¥14.25 Fair Value ¥24.06 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.25 – ¥36.34 · fair‑value band ¥18.04 – ¥30.07 · the ¥20.68 price screens below the ¥24.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co (603948) currently trades at ¥20.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.06, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 11.4%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥18.04 (bear case) to ¥30.07 (bull case); at ¥20.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 16%, 603948 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥11.78 ¥13.10 ¥18.66 76
Growth DCF ¥30.53 ¥38.04 ¥50.47 72
Gordon GGM ¥8.78 ¥9.57 ¥10.76 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥29.63 ¥37.42 ¥51.40 38
Owner Earnings ¥25.24 ¥31.42 ¥42.51 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥24.16 ¥30.10 ¥38.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥25.01 ¥31.56 ¥40.25 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥26.12 ¥33.48 ¥42.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥25.89 ¥30.44 ¥35.19 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥26.73 ¥31.32 ¥36.08 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥27.39 ¥32.48 ¥37.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥9.62 ¥11.76 ¥13.23 54
EPV ¥20.86 ¥22.84 ¥24.55 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.78 ¥9.57 ¥10.76 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.78 ¥10.85 ¥13.68 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥18.04 ¥24.06 ¥30.07 63
P/S Multiple ¥14.24 ¥18.99 ¥23.74 58
P/B Multiple ¥18.04 ¥24.06 ¥30.07 55
EV/EBIT ¥25.58 ¥31.33 ¥37.07 53
EV/EBITDA ¥24.23 ¥29.52 ¥34.82 54
EV/Revenue ¥21.63 ¥27.33 ¥33.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.64 ¥8.90 ¥13.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥30.53 ¥38.04 ¥50.47 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥24.16 ¥30.61 ¥38.66 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.78 ¥13.10 ¥18.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥20.86 ¥23.31 ¥25.70 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.85 ¥18.36 ¥23.87 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥31.42) versus Asset-Based (¥8.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net margin 11.4%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow 374M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.1
More key figures
Operating margin 12.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.44
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.5%
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sales of fine chemical products in China. The company offers low-carbon fatty amines, plasticizers, acetates, liquid sulfur dioxide, and electronic chemicals. It serves agrochemical, pharmaceutical, rubber, paint and dyes, surfactant, intermediate, and other industries.

Full company description

Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sales of fine chemical products in China. The company offers low-carbon fatty amines, plasticizers, acetates, liquid sulfur dioxide, and electronic chemicals. It serves agrochemical, pharmaceutical, rubber, paint and dyes, surfactant, intermediate, and other industries. It also exports its products. Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Jiande, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥230M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+4.5%
Revenue −7.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥2.8B
FY23 ¥2.6B
FY24 ¥2.4B
FY25 ¥2.1B
Net income −5.6%/yr
FY21 ¥290M
FY22 ¥390M
FY23 ¥318M
FY24 ¥209M
FY25 ¥230M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603948

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +16% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.97× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.07× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 55 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 43 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 77 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co (603948) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥24.06 versus a price of ¥20.68, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 603948?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co is ¥24.06 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.68.
What is the quality score of 603948?
Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co (603948)?
Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603948?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co is about 11.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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