Qingdao Victall Railway Co (605001) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥3.15 to ¥5.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.88 – ¥11.86 · fair‑value band ¥3.15 – ¥5.74 · the ¥5.68 price screens above the ¥4.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Qingdao Victall Railway Co (605001) currently trades at ¥5.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.59, implying the stock looks roughly 19.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qingdao Victall Railway Co generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at 754M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.15 (bear case) to ¥5.74 (bull case); at ¥5.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -19%, 605001 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.28) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.95). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qingdao Victall Railway Co., Ltd. provides modular products and components for high-speed trains, urban rail, and subway vehicles in China and internationally.
Full company description
Qingdao Victall Railway Co., Ltd. provides modular products and components for high-speed trains, urban rail, and subway vehicles in China and internationally. It offers railway vehicle compartment interiors, railway vehicle cab interiors, subway overall interiors, railway vehicle exteriors, cab front, toilet module with water supply system, door system, airduct system, kitchen system, front hatch mechanism, gangway system, lighting system, luggage rack, folding seat, cab sunvisor, cab rear partition wall and door, VIP cabinet, 3D forming structural parts and BC parts. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qingdao Victall Railway Co reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥615M in FY2021, a compound +30.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥85.9M in FY2025.
605001 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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