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Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co (605158) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

ZH Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co 605158 · SHG
Price¥6.85
Fair Value¥3.59
Upside-47.6%
Quality45/100
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Healthy Growth
Loss-making · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.79% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.37 – ¥4.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥4.90 to ¥3.59 (−26.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.37 to ¥4.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.53 ¥4.96 Fair Value ¥3.59 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.96 – ¥12.53 · fair‑value band ¥2.37 – ¥4.36 · the ¥6.85 price screens above the ¥3.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co (605158) currently trades at ¥6.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.59, implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 7.0B CNY. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.37 (bear case) to ¥4.36 (bull case); at ¥6.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -48%, 605158 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥16.49 ¥20.05 ¥24.85 80
Residual Income ¥3.42 ¥3.33 ¥2.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.56 ¥12.37 ¥13.35 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥16.35 ¥20.32 ¥26.01 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.34 ¥8.43 ¥8.57 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥11.56 ¥12.22 ¥12.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.09 ¥13.20 ¥14.37 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥12.07 ¥13.15 ¥14.20 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.28 ¥14.27 ¥15.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.63 ¥14.93 ¥16.42 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.62 ¥14.90 ¥16.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8700 ¥2.47 ¥3.26 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5000 ¥0.7200 ¥0.9400 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5000 ¥0.7200 ¥0.9400 46
EPV ¥8.48 ¥8.54 ¥8.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.99 ¥3.97 ¥6.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.99 ¥3.12 ¥4.20 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.63 ¥2.17 ¥2.71 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.63 ¥2.17 ¥2.71 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.63 ¥2.17 ¥2.71 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.92 ¥9.18 ¥9.44 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.82 ¥10.38 ¥10.94 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.82 ¥9.10 ¥9.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.22 ¥4.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥16.49 ¥20.05 ¥24.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.56 ¥12.37 ¥13.35 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.42 ¥3.33 ¥2.74 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.48 ¥8.54 ¥8.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.34 ¥1.91 ¥2.48 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.20) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 0.0%
Return on equity -0.1%
Free cash flow 397M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -1.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0100
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -65.9%
Net cash 2.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of multifunctional color coated sheets, hot-dip galvanized steel and aluminum sheets, and related substrates in China and internationally. The company also offers cold-rolled coils and hot-dip aluminum zinc sheets.

Full company description

Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of multifunctional color coated sheets, hot-dip galvanized steel and aluminum sheets, and related substrates in China and internationally. The company also offers cold-rolled coils and hot-dip aluminum zinc sheets. In addition, it provides business and water transport services. The company serves the construction, home appliances, automobile, shipbuilding, electromechanical, and other industries. It exports its products. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China. Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Zhejiang Huada Group Co.,Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co reported revenue of ¥7.0B in FY2025 versus ¥8.5B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥65.3M in FY2025, compounding −18.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+10.7%
Revenue −4.8%/yr
FY21 ¥8.5B
FY22 ¥8.1B
FY23 ¥7.6B
FY24 ¥6.9B
FY25 ¥7.0B
Net income −18.5%/yr
FY21 ¥148M
FY22 ¥202M
FY23 ¥334M
FY24 ¥229M
FY25 ¥65.3M

605158 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605158

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 18 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co (605158) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.59 versus a price of ¥6.85, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605158?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co is ¥3.59 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.85.
What is the quality score of 605158?
Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co (605158)?
Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605158?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co is about 0.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Huada New Materials Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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