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Quechen Silicon Chemical Co (605183) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY

QS Quechen Silicon Chemical Co 605183 · SHG
Price¥14.34
Fair Value¥15.66
Upside+9.2%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.79% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.58 – ¥25.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (¥9.58 to ¥25.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥22.47 ¥9.54 Fair Value ¥15.66 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.54 – ¥22.47 · fair‑value band ¥9.58 – ¥25.39 · the ¥14.34 price screens below the ¥15.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Quechen Silicon Chemical Co (605183) currently trades at ¥14.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.66, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Quechen Silicon Chemical Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 19.6%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 740M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.58 (bear case) to ¥25.39 (bull case); at ¥14.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 9%, 605183 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.12 ¥4.03 ¥5.48 80
Residual Income ¥8.46 ¥10.36 ¥23.34 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.91 ¥9.64 ¥14.40 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.14 ¥4.13 ¥5.78 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.99 ¥5.63 ¥8.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.91 ¥9.81 ¥15.22 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.72 ¥17.61 ¥27.66 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.53 ¥21.30 ¥32.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.73 ¥8.06 ¥13.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.38 ¥13.62 ¥23.43 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.54 ¥16.26 ¥27.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.13 ¥36.69 ¥50.31 54
Lynch FV ¥9.58 ¥13.68 ¥17.79 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.58 ¥13.68 ¥17.79 46
EPV ¥12.42 ¥14.09 ¥15.54 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.69 ¥5.36 ¥8.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.69 ¥4.63 ¥5.65 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.24 ¥20.32 ¥25.39 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.01 ¥8.01 ¥10.01 58
P/B Multiple ¥15.24 ¥20.32 ¥25.39 55
EV/EBIT ¥16.39 ¥21.25 ¥26.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.07 ¥18.16 ¥22.25 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.41 ¥9.81 ¥12.21 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.49 ¥6.01 ¥8.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.12 ¥4.03 ¥5.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.91 ¥9.64 ¥14.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.46 ¥10.36 ¥23.34 76
ROIC Compounder ¥13.58 ¥17.51 ¥22.67 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.89 ¥19.84 ¥25.79 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥19.84) versus Growth DCF (¥4.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.9%
Net margin 19.6%
Return on equity 12.1%
Free cash flow 45.8M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.8
More key figures
Operating margin 17.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.06
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -44.1%
Net cash 740M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Quechen Silicon Chemical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and supply of silica in China and internationally.

Full company description

Quechen Silicon Chemical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and supply of silica in China and internationally. It provides silica for rubber industry, such as conventional silica, granular silica, easy dispersion silica, and low polymerizing and high dispersion silica; silica for animal nutrition; silica for oral care; and silica for silicon rubber. The company was formerly known as Wuxi Quechen Silicon Chemical Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Quechen Silicon Chemical Co., Ltd. in December 2011. Quechen Silicon Chemical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Wuxi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Quechen Silicon Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥497M in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+13.1%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥2.2B
Net income +13.4%/yr
FY21 ¥300M
FY22 ¥380M
FY23 ¥413M
FY24 ¥541M
FY25 ¥497M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quechen Silicon Chemical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605183

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.64× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 0
FUTURE 15 · sector 20
PAST 48 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 56 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Quechen Silicon Chemical Co (605183) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.66 versus a price of ¥14.34, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 605183?
Our model-based fair value for Quechen Silicon Chemical Co is ¥15.66 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.34.
What is the quality score of 605183?
Quechen Silicon Chemical Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Quechen Silicon Chemical Co (605183)?
Quechen Silicon Chemical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605183?
The net profit margin of Quechen Silicon Chemical Co is about 19.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Quechen Silicon Chemical Co pay a dividend?
Quechen Silicon Chemical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.79% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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