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Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co (605577) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 4.4B CNY

HP Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co 605577 · SHG
Price¥9.50
Fair Value¥11.09
Upside+16.7%
Quality68/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.66% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.32 – ¥12.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥8.32 (bear) to ¥12.65 (bull), base ¥11.09. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥30.67 ¥8.33 Fair Value ¥11.09 Aug 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range ¥8.33 – ¥30.67 · fair‑value band ¥8.32 – ¥12.65 · the ¥9.50 price screens below the ¥11.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co (605577) currently trades at ¥9.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.09, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of 15.4%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.32 (bear case) to ¥12.65 (bull case); at ¥9.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 17%, 605577 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.77 ¥6.90 ¥6.76 76
Growth DCF ¥11.69 ¥13.85 ¥17.43 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.32 ¥1.44 ¥1.61 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.43 ¥13.67 ¥17.70 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.12 ¥13.26 ¥17.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.65 ¥11.21 ¥13.48 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.45 ¥12.61 ¥15.46 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥12.02 ¥15.31 ¥19.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.24 ¥11.45 ¥12.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.80 ¥12.29 ¥13.84 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.73 ¥13.93 ¥16.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.43 ¥4.19 ¥4.71 54
EPV ¥7.76 ¥8.15 ¥8.48 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.32 ¥1.44 ¥1.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.32 ¥1.63 ¥2.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.32 ¥11.09 ¥13.86 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.43 ¥8.57 ¥10.71 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.43 ¥8.57 ¥10.71 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.86 ¥11.39 ¥12.91 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.57 ¥12.33 ¥14.09 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.76 ¥10.24 ¥11.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.39 ¥5.89 ¥8.79 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.69 ¥13.85 ¥17.43 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.65 ¥11.36 ¥13.51 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.77 ¥6.90 ¥6.76 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.76 ¥8.15 ¥8.48 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.86 ¥8.38 ¥10.89 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.61) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.44). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 15.4%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow 294M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 22.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5400
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net cash 2.2B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co., Ltd. engages inediting, printing, and distributing books, newspapers, and periodicals in China. The company offers digital products, such as audio-visual products, electronic products, and digital education products.

Full company description

Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co., Ltd. engages inediting, printing, and distributing books, newspapers, and periodicals in China. The company offers digital products, such as audio-visual products, electronic products, and digital education products. It also engages in the online businesses, such as e-commerce, short videos, and live streaming e-commerce, as well as provides digital media, technical services, and material supply comprehensive services. The company operates a chain of bookstore outlets. Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co., Ltd. was founded in 2014 and is based in Harbin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥224M in FY2025, compounding −15.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+2.0%
Revenue −4.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.8B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥1.9B
FY24 ¥1.7B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income −15.7%/yr
FY21 ¥443M
FY22 ¥478M
FY23 ¥348M
FY24 ¥201M
FY25 ¥224M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605577

Peer Group

Publishing · 110 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 56 · sector 39
FUTURE 37 · sector 0
PAST 24 · sector 21
HEALTH 0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 33 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co (605577) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.09 versus a price of ¥9.50, about +17% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 605577?
Our model-based fair value for Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co is ¥11.09 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.50.
What is the quality score of 605577?
Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co (605577)?
Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605577?
The net profit margin of Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co is about 15.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co pay a dividend?
Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.66% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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