Laopu Gold Co (6181) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$63.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 17% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from HK$346.50 (bear) to HK$592.33 (bull), base HK$462.01. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range HK$66.72 – HK$1,040 · fair‑value band HK$346.50 – HK$592.33 · the HK$395.60 price screens below the HK$462.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Laopu Gold Co (6181) currently trades at HK$395.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$462.01, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Laopu Gold Co generated revenue of HK$27.3B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue grew 199.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 64.8%. Net debt stands at HK$4.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$346.50 (bear case) to HK$592.33 (bull case); at HK$395.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 17%, 6181 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$490.14) versus Asset-Based (HK$43.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. It offers handmade goldware, including pendants, bracelets, rings, earrings, jewelry for babies, and gem-set jewelry, as well as gold antiques and collectibles. The company also provides maintenance and repair services for jewelry products.
Full company description
Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. It offers handmade goldware, including pendants, bracelets, rings, earrings, jewelry for babies, and gem-set jewelry, as well as gold antiques and collectibles. The company also provides maintenance and repair services for jewelry products. It sells its products through stores and online. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Laopu Gold Co reported revenue of HK$26.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.3B in FY2021, a compound +114.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.7B in FY2025, compounding +154.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 130 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €455.40 | €502.30 | +10% |
| Kering SA KER | €248.50 | €60.61 | -76% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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