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Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Laopu Gold Co Ltd HK$380, price HK$345, upside +10.1%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Home China · ISIN CNE100006JG0

LG Laopu Gold Co Ltd logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Laopu Gold Co Ltd

6181 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$380.39 · Fairly valued (+10%)
!Quality 46/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +99.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·6.24% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (11/14)
✓Wide moat 88/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1,040 HK$66.72 Fair Value HK$380.39 Jun 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range HK$66.72 – HK$1,040 · fair‑value band HK$240.06 – HK$591.38 · the HK$345.40 price screens below the HK$380.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. It offers handmade goldware, including pendants, bracelets, rings, earrings, jewelry for babies, and gem-set jewelry, as well as gold antiques and collectibles. The company also provides maintenance and repair services for jewelry products.

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Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. It offers handmade goldware, including pendants, bracelets, rings, earrings, jewelry for babies, and gem-set jewelry, as well as gold antiques and collectibles. The company also provides maintenance and repair services for jewelry products. It sells its products through stores and online. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181) currently trades at HK$345.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$380.39, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$490.14 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$345.40 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$43.16, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: HK$240.06 (bear) to HK$591.38 (bull), the price of HK$345.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Laopu Gold Co Ltd reported revenue of 26.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +114.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.7B CNY in FY2025, compounding +154.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap HK$59.5B (≈ $7.6B) · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 1.97 · EPS (TTM) HK$13.34 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 17.8% · Return on equity 64.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 10%, 6181 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$240.06 Fair Value HK$380.39 Bull HK$591.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA HK$506.02 HK$671.17 HK$836.33 66
EV/EBIT HK$619.26 HK$822.17 HK$1,025 65
Gordon GGM HK$55.88 HK$111.35 HK$168.62 62
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$55.88 HK$111.35 HK$168.62 62
DDM Multi-Stage HK$55.88 HK$96.23 HK$117.54 62
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$350.85 HK$467.80 HK$584.75 56
P/B Multiple HK$96.62 HK$128.83 HK$161.03 53
EV/EBIT HK$619.26 HK$822.17 HK$1,025 65
EV/EBITDA HK$506.02 HK$671.17 HK$836.33 66
EV/Revenue HK$346.26 HK$490.14 HK$634.02 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$32.21 HK$43.16 HK$64.41 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$228.17 HK$359.77 HK$5,677 60

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 91
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+212.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+173.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.3% (2020) → 23.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 130 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 65% · Top 25%
Return on assets 30% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 200% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.48× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.23× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)47 · sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 50
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 40
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 50

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 170.40 CHF 120.03 −30%
Christian Dior SE CDI €368.40 €552.53 +50%
Kering SA KER €232.00 €58.17 −75%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $112.59 $19.95 −82%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.01 HK$12.03 +9%
The Swatch Group UHR CHF 176.60 CHF 48.30 −73%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$37.38 HK$63.43 +70%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 821.60 kr 1,424 +73%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €79.92 €34.92 −56%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹584.25 ₹184.73 −68%

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HK$380.39 +9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Laopu Gold Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6181

Frequently asked questions

Is Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$380.39 versus a price of HK$345.40, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6181?
Our model-based fair value for Laopu Gold Co Ltd is HK$380.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$345.40.
What is the quality score of 6181?
Laopu Gold Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$380.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$240.06, optimistic scenario HK$591.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Laopu Gold Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$380.39, about +10% upside versus a price of HK$345.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$240.06, optimistic scenario HK$591.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
Laopu Gold Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$27.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Laopu Gold Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Laopu Gold Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Laopu Gold Co Ltd it is HK$380.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$345.40. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Laopu Gold Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6181 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$345.40, fair value HK$380.39, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6181?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$345.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$380.39). For Laopu Gold Co Ltd the two are HK$34.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Laopu Gold Co Ltd worth?
The market values Laopu Gold Co Ltd at about HK$59.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$345.40; our models calculate a fair value of HK$380.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6181?
Our models span a range for Laopu Gold Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$240.06, base HK$380.39, optimistic HK$591.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$345.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6181?
Laopu Gold Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$380.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 5.5, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
What is the PEG ratio of 6181?
The PEG ratio of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is 0.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
Balance-sheet figures for Laopu Gold Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 64.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6181 from its 52-week high?
Laopu Gold Co Ltd trades at HK$345.40, about 58% below its 52-week high of HK$829.93 and 20% above the low of HK$287.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$380.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Laopu Gold Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Kering SA, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Laopu Gold Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$345.40, calculated fair value HK$380.39 (+10%), Quality Score 46/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6181 calculated?
We run Laopu Gold Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$380.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Laopu Gold Co Ltd currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$345.40. Our model-based fair value is HK$380.39, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Laopu Gold Co Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$240.06 to HK$591.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Laopu Gold Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
The market capitalisation of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is HK$59.5B (≈ $7.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is 1.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
Earnings per share at Laopu Gold Co Ltd are HK$13.34 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
The dividend yield of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is 6.2% (payout 161%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
The net margin of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is 17.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is 64.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is 21.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
The operating margin of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is 23.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
Revenue at Laopu Gold Co Ltd is growing +200% versus a year earlier (3y avg +174%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181)?
Earnings per share at Laopu Gold Co Ltd are growing +184% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181) generate?
The free cash flow of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is −HK$7.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181) carry?
The net debt of Laopu Gold Co Ltd is HK$4.7B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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