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Hotai Finance Co (6592) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TW · Market cap 38.7B TWD

HF Hotai Finance Co 6592 · TW
Price60.70 TWD
Fair Value58.12 TWD
Upside-4.3%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.81% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range 43.59 TWD – 72.65 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

117.41 TWD 49.37 TWD Fair Value 58.12 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 49.37 TWD – 117.41 TWD · fair‑value band 43.59 TWD – 72.65 TWD · the 60.70 TWD price screens above the 58.12 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hotai Finance Co (6592) currently trades at 60.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 58.12 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hotai Finance Co generated revenue of 19.0B TWD at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at 275B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 43.59 TWD (bear case) to 72.65 TWD (bull case); at 60.70 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -4%, 6592 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 88.85 TWD 154.94 TWD 261.44 TWD 80
Residual Income 51.38 TWD 55.90 TWD 69.66 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 53.93 TWD 91.49 TWD 137.53 TWD 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 35.69 TWD 68.77 TWD 122.53 TWD 31
5Y P/E Exit 51.45 TWD 86.23 TWD 123.46 TWD 38
10Y P/E Exit 63.42 TWD 97.89 TWD 141.61 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 35.77 TWD 137.21 TWD 185.92 TWD 54
Lynch FV 33.47 TWD 47.81 TWD 62.15 TWD 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 32.97 TWD 68.54 TWD 108.74 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 32.97 TWD 57.80 TWD 71.94 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 51.28 TWD 68.38 TWD 85.47 TWD 63
P/B Multiple 62.96 TWD 83.95 TWD 104.93 TWD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 29.98 TWD 40.17 TWD 59.96 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 88.85 TWD 154.94 TWD 261.44 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 53.93 TWD 91.49 TWD 137.53 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 51.38 TWD 55.90 TWD 69.66 TWD 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (91.49 TWD) versus Asset-Based (40.17 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 19.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin 18.7%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow 5.4B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 12.4
More key figures
Operating margin 23.2%
EPS (TTM) 4.85 TWD
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +62.0%
Net debt 275B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hotai Finance Co., Ltd. provides sales and leasing services for vehicles and equipment in Taiwan and China. The company offers installment and refinancing installment loans for new/used cars, heavy motorcycles, and scooters; installment loans for commodities and equipment; and raw materials financing services.

Full company description

Hotai Finance Co., Ltd. provides sales and leasing services for vehicles and equipment in Taiwan and China. The company offers installment and refinancing installment loans for new/used cars, heavy motorcycles, and scooters; installment loans for commodities and equipment; and raw materials financing services. It also provides mobile payments and digital services. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hotai Finance Co reported revenue of 23.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 18.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
23.7B TWD
Latest YoY
−18.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+8.6%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY21 18.0B TWD
FY22 22.8B TWD
FY23 28.7B TWD
FY24 29.0B TWD
FY25 23.7B TWD
Net income +1.8%/yr
FY21 3.1B TWD
FY22 3.6B TWD
FY23 3.7B TWD
FY24 3.1B TWD
FY25 3.4B TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hotai Finance Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6592

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −4% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.23× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.01× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.04× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 28 · sector 35
FUTURE 8 · sector 39
PAST 35 · sector 32
HEALTH 89 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 96 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hotai Finance Co (6592) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 58.12 TWD versus a price of 60.70 TWD, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 6592?
Our model-based fair value for Hotai Finance Co is 58.12 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 60.70 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6592?
Hotai Finance Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hotai Finance Co (6592)?
Hotai Finance Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6592?
The net profit margin of Hotai Finance Co is about 18.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hotai Finance Co pay a dividend?
Hotai Finance Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.49% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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