Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Co Ltd (6866) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$378M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.5600 to HK$0.6100 (+8.9%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4590). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2143 – HK$0.4000 · fair‑value band HK$0.4590 – HK$0.7680 · the HK$0.3050 price screens below the HK$0.6100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Co Ltd (6866) currently trades at HK$0.3050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6100, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$133M at a net margin of 44.5%. Revenue declined 19.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at HK$412M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4590 (bear case) to HK$0.7680 (bull case); at HK$0.3050, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 100%, 6866 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.15) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zuoli Kechuang Company Limited operates as a microfinance company in the People's Republic of China. It provides unsecured, guaranteed, collateralized, and pledged loans; enterprise loans, including agriculture loans, as well as loans for other small and medium-sized enterprises and micro enterprises; individual business, start-up, and other loans; supply …
Full company description
Zuoli Kechuang Company Limited operates as a microfinance company in the People's Republic of China. It provides unsecured, guaranteed, collateralized, and pledged loans; enterprise loans, including agriculture loans, as well as loans for other small and medium-sized enterprises and micro enterprises; individual business, start-up, and other loans; supply chain and green loans; and Internet micro-loans. The company was formerly known as Deqing Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Company Limited and changed its name to Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Company Limited. Zuoli Kechuang Company Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Huzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$140M in FY2025 versus HK$199M in FY2021, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$60.4M in FY2025, compounding −15.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −3.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 6866: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Credit Services · 333 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $359.42 | $198.27 | -45% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $561.44 | $221.87 | -60% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,094 | ₹397.61 | -64% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,117 | ₹553.83 | -50% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,918 | ₹796.52 | -58% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹367.05 | ₹149.40 | -59% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹376.50 | ₹615.85 | +64% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹2,876 | ₹3,429 | +19% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.35 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
| REC Limited RECLTD | ₹346.00 | ₹692.00 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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