Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co (688187) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 72.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from ¥87.12 to ¥58.47 (−32.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥43.43 (bear) to ¥73.50 (bull), base ¥58.47. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range ¥30.69 – ¥82.09 · fair‑value band ¥43.43 – ¥73.50 · the ¥49.74 price screens below the ¥58.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co (688187) currently trades at ¥49.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥58.47, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co generated revenue of 29.3B CNY at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥43.43 (bear case) to ¥73.50 (bull case); at ¥49.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 18%, 688187 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥61.95) versus Asset-Based (¥20.97). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of propulsion and control systems in Mainland China and internationally.
Full company description
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of propulsion and control systems in Mainland China and internationally. It provides traction converter systems, power supply systems, informationization and intelligent system products, test equipment, urban rail vehicle door systems, electrical system of passenger car, technological equipment of urban rail transit, braking system of urban rail transit, communication and signaling systems, and electromechanical system integration. The company also offers rail maintenance and engineering products, such as heavy-duty motor trolleys, OCS operating vehicles, engineering vehicle for urban rail transit, large track maintenance machinery, line maintenance services, electrical system of rail engineering machinery, and infrastructure inspection and monitoring systems. In addition, it provides new energy, including wind power inverter, PV inverter, storage systems, and hydrogen power supply; and industrial and component products comprising industrial electrified products, electric drive system of new energy vehicles, marine engineering equipment, power semiconductor devices, and sensors. The company was formerly known as Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. in March 2016. Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Zhuzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co reported revenue of ¥28.6B in FY2025 versus ¥15.1B in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.1B in FY2025, compounding +19.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Railroads · 109 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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