Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd ¥21.76, price ¥25.98, upside -16.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.07 – ¥62.27 · fair‑value band ¥14.06 – ¥42.65 · the ¥25.98 price screens above the ¥21.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Autel Intelligent Technology Corp., Ltd. provides smart vehicle diagnostics and smart charging solutions in China, North America, Europe, and internationally.
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Autel Intelligent Technology Corp., Ltd. provides smart vehicle diagnostics and smart charging solutions in China, North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers diagnostic tools, key programming products, specialty tools, radar sensors, electric vehicle chargers, TPMS series products, wheel alignment and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) calibration products. The company also provides battery services; software update solutions; and cloud-based services. It primarily sells its products to approximately 50 countries and regions, including the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Australia. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208) currently trades at ¥25.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.76, implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥45.78 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥25.98 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.87, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥14.06 (bear) to ¥42.65 (bull), the price of ¥25.98 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd reported revenue of 4.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was 936M CNY in FY2025, compounding +20.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 17.4B CNY (≈ $2.6B) · P/E ratio 21.0 · P/S ratio 4.06 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.24 · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 19.4% · Return on equity 23.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −16%, 688208 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥14.06Fair Value ¥21.76Bull ¥42.65
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1170 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +14.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 21%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 252% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.8% a year for the price.
Compare Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−16% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.76 versus a price of ¥25.98, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688208?
Our model-based fair value for Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is ¥21.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥25.98.
What is the quality score of 688208?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥21.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥14.06, optimistic scenario ¥42.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥21.76, about −16% upside versus a price of ¥25.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥14.06, optimistic scenario ¥42.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688208 use?
Our models discount Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd that is +17.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd grew +25.1 % a year. The price currently implies +17.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (+17.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.66 %: that much free cash flow Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd it is ¥21.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥25.98. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688208 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥25.98, fair value ¥21.76, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688208?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥25.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥21.76). For Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd the two are ¥4.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd at about 17.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥25.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥21.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688208?
Our models span a range for Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥14.06, base ¥21.76, optimistic ¥42.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥25.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688208?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥21.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
Balance-sheet figures for Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 23.8%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688208 from its 52-week high?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd trades at ¥25.98, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥40.35 and 9% above the low of ¥23.89 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥21.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥25.98, calculated fair value ¥21.76 (−16%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688208 calculated?
We run Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥21.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥25.98. Our model-based fair value is ¥21.76, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥14.06 to ¥42.65). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The market capitalisation of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is 17.4B CNY (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is 4.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
Earnings per share at Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd are ¥1.24 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The dividend yield of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is 4.2% (payout 87.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The net margin of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is 19.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is 23.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
The operating margin of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is 23.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
Revenue at Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd is growing +18.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd (688208)?
Earnings per share at Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Ltd are growing −3.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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