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Autel Intelligent Technology Corp (688208) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 18.6B CNY

AI Autel Intelligent Technology Corp 688208 · SHG
Price¥27.82
Fair Value¥19.64
Upside-29.4%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.00% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 75/100
Evidence: High Range ¥14.13 – ¥38.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +12.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (¥14.13 to ¥38.99). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥62.27 ¥11.07 Fair Value ¥19.64 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.07 – ¥62.27 · fair‑value band ¥14.13 – ¥38.99 · the ¥27.82 price screens above the ¥19.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Autel Intelligent Technology Corp (688208) currently trades at ¥27.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.64, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Autel Intelligent Technology Corp generated revenue of 5.0B CNY at a net margin of 18.5%. Revenue grew 18.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 22.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥14.13 (bear case) to ¥38.99 (bull case); at ¥27.82, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -29%, 688208 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥11.66 ¥21.08 ¥40.12 80
Residual Income ¥8.75 ¥10.73 ¥35.90 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.81 ¥16.35 ¥30.46 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.35 ¥19.03 ¥40.29 38
Owner Earnings ¥23.95 ¥53.59 ¥115.82 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.80 ¥14.38 ¥26.03 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.16 ¥29.25 ¥54.98 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥21.30 ¥49.79 ¥89.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.70 ¥19.68 ¥25.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥15.35 ¥35.52 ¥71.39 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥19.10 ¥46.60 ¥93.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥9.50 ¥66.22 ¥92.93 54
Lynch FV ¥24.53 ¥35.04 ¥45.55 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥24.53 ¥35.04 ¥45.55 46
EPV ¥13.76 ¥15.93 ¥17.84 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.41 ¥17.49 ¥27.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.41 ¥14.75 ¥18.36 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥23.04 ¥30.72 ¥38.40 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.49 ¥8.65 ¥10.82 58
P/B Multiple ¥17.32 ¥23.10 ¥28.87 55
EV/EBIT ¥21.26 ¥28.11 ¥34.96 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.94 ¥22.35 ¥27.76 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.77 ¥9.37 ¥11.96 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.89 ¥3.87 ¥5.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.66 ¥21.08 ¥40.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.81 ¥16.35 ¥30.46 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.75 ¥10.73 ¥35.90 76
ROIC Compounder ¥17.65 ¥25.95 ¥37.14 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥32.05 ¥45.78 ¥59.52 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥45.78) versus Asset-Based (¥3.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.8%
Net margin 18.5%
Return on equity 23.8%
Free cash flow 464M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 22.4
More key figures
Operating margin 23.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.24
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Autel Intelligent Technology Corp., Ltd. provides smart vehicle diagnostics and smart charging solutions in China, North America, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Autel Intelligent Technology Corp., Ltd. provides smart vehicle diagnostics and smart charging solutions in China, North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers diagnostic tools, key programming products, specialty tools, radar sensors, electric vehicle chargers, TPMS series products, wheel alignment and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) calibration products. The company also provides battery services; software update solutions; and cloud-based services. It primarily sells its products to approximately 50 countries and regions, including the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Australia. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Autel Intelligent Technology Corp reported revenue of ¥4.8B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥936M in FY2025, compounding +20.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+22.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+28.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+25.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+26.5%
Revenue +21.0%/yr
FY21 ¥2.3B
FY22 ¥2.3B
FY23 ¥3.3B
FY24 ¥3.9B
FY25 ¥4.8B
Net income +20.9%/yr
FY21 ¥439M
FY22 ¥102M
FY23 ¥179M
FY24 ¥641M
FY25 ¥936M

688208 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autel Intelligent Technology Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688208

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.70× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 94 · sector 23
PAST 95 · sector 26
HEALTH 84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 80 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Autel Intelligent Technology Corp (688208) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.64 versus a price of ¥27.82, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688208?
Our model-based fair value for Autel Intelligent Technology Corp is ¥19.64 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥27.82.
What is the quality score of 688208?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp (688208)?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688208?
The net profit margin of Autel Intelligent Technology Corp is about 18.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Autel Intelligent Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Autel Intelligent Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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