Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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A solid business, but trading 399% above our fair value of ¥3.51.
As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd is ¥3.51 per share against a price of ¥17.50, so the fair value sits 80% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −2.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin
✓generates free cash flow
·0.57% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange ¥3.27 to ¥3.81
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −8.9% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range ¥16.92 – ¥67.74 · fair‑value band ¥3.27 – ¥3.81 · the ¥17.50 price screens above the ¥3.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232) currently trades at ¥17.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.51, implying the stock looks roughly 398.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥11.26 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥17.50 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.9000, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 727M CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Scenario range: ¥3.27 (bear) to ¥3.81 (bull), the price of ¥17.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −80%, 688232 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0487 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.9000 to ¥11.26). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio102.9
P/S ratio1.97P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)¥0.1700price ÷ EPS = P/E 102.9
Dividend yield0.6%payout 58.8%
Net margin1.9%FY2025
Return on equity1.0%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)4.7%avg 5y
Operating margin−15.6%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)1.8B CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−2.9%3y avg −13.4%
EPS growth (YoY)−51.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow13.6M CNYFY2025
Net cash727M CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality57/100
Of which business quality 58
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Profitability24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance96
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guo Tai Epoint Software Co.,Ltd offers software and information technology solutions in China. The company operates through smart procurement, smart government affairs, and digital construction segments.
Full company description
Guo Tai Epoint Software Co.,Ltd offers software and information technology solutions in China. The company operates through smart procurement, smart government affairs, and digital construction segments. It provides one-stop online service, big data, office collaboration, and unified city governance; E-government procurement, corporate procurement, and smart bidding tools; digital housing and development, digital construction, and digital cost estimation. It also provides scientific research and technical services. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Zhangjiagang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 35.0M CNY in FY2025, compounding −48.7%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−14.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−41.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−41.9%
Dividend yield0.6%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20.6% (2020) → 3.7% (2025) · falling
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688232
Peer Group
Software - Application · 689 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−16% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)102.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)3.39× · Pricier than median
P/FCF68.0× · Priciest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+36.1 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-2.9 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.3 %
FCF yield on price0.24 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.4 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE0· sector 38
PAST4· sector 13
HEALTH0· sector 98
DIVIDEND11· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
Is Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.51 versus a price of ¥17.50, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688232?
Our model-based fair value for Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd is ¥3.51 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.50.
What is the quality score of 688232?
Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.51 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.27, optimistic scenario ¥3.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.51, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥17.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.27, optimistic scenario ¥3.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232)?
Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688232?
The net profit margin of Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +36.1 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.4 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.9 % per year. As of Sep 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688232 use?
Our models discount Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd it is ¥3.51 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026), against a price of ¥17.50. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 5, 2026, 688232 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥17.50, fair value ¥3.51, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688232?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥17.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.51). For Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd the two are ¥13.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd at about 6.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥17.50; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688232?
Our models span a range for Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.27, base ¥3.51, optimistic ¥3.81 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026, price ¥17.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688232?
Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 102.9 (as of Sep 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (688232)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd (as of Sep 5, 2026): return on equity 1.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688232 from its 52-week high?
Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd trades at ¥17.50, about 51% below its 52-week high of ¥35.68 (as of Sep 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 5, 2026: price ¥17.50, calculated fair value ¥3.51 (−80%), Quality Score 57/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688232 calculated?
We run Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Guotai Epoint Software Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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