Chengdu KSW Technologies Co (688283) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 4.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥10.25 to ¥13.82 (+34.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range ¥15.99 – ¥58.87 · fair‑value band ¥11.41 – ¥17.28 · the ¥28.18 price screens above the ¥13.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Chengdu KSW Technologies Co (688283) currently trades at ¥28.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.82, implying the stock looks roughly 50.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu KSW Technologies Co generated revenue of 247M CNY at a net margin of 21.0%. Revenue grew 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 679M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.41 (bear case) to ¥17.28 (bull case); at ¥28.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -51%, 688283 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.82) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chengdu KSW Technologies Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of wireless channel emulators and radio frequency microwave signal generator products in China.
Full company description
Chengdu KSW Technologies Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of wireless channel emulators and radio frequency microwave signal generator products in China. The company provides 5G test, automated test, MIMO V2X test, wireless communication network test, radio signal acquisition and playback system solution, communication channel simulation test, and equipment performance evaluation system solutions. In addition, it offers wireless channel emulator, vector signal generator, spectrum/vector signal analyzers, vector signal transceiver, radio comprehensive tester, telemetry remote control receiver, HBI high-speed bus and modules, and special instrument. It serves mobile communication operators, equipment manufacturers, radio research institutes, aerospace science and industry, and scientific research industries. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chengdu KSW Technologies Co reported revenue of ¥243M in FY2025 versus ¥163M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥46.8M in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.
688283 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 290 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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