China Railway High-Speed Electrification Equipment Corporation (688285) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥3.00 to ¥2.87 (−4.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range ¥5.90 – ¥10.60 · fair‑value band ¥2.15 – ¥2.87 · the ¥7.57 price screens above the ¥2.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
China Railway High-Speed Electrification Equipment Corporation (688285) currently trades at ¥7.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.87, implying the stock looks roughly 62.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Railway High-Speed Electrification Equipment Corporation generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 50.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 268M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.15 (bear case) to ¥2.87 (bull case); at ¥7.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -62%, 688285 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.21) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Railway High-Speed Electrification Equipment Corporation Limited engages in the design, research and development, manufacturing, and sales of electrified railway contact network products, urban rail transit power supply equipment, and off-track products.
Full company description
China Railway High-Speed Electrification Equipment Corporation Limited engages in the design, research and development, manufacturing, and sales of electrified railway contact network products, urban rail transit power supply equipment, and off-track products. The company operates in power supply equipment industry for domestic electrified railways and urban rail transit. It offers cantilever bracket, termination anchor clamps, overhead crossing products, electrical connection clamps, weights, additive wire fittings, and section insulators; and cantilever support, limited and non-limited steady, pulley anchored, rachet wheel anchored, spring compensation anchored, headspan supporting and fixing devices, headspan connection and suspension, grounding wire clamp and connection, level suspension, tunnel support and positioning, pully tensioning, and rachet wheel tensioning devices. The company provides straddle type monorail steel aluminum composites; steel aluminum composite contact rail systems; three phase AC 600V contact rail power supply system; medium and low speed maglev steel aluminum composite contact rail power supply systems; straddle type monorail side contact p type bus bar systems; super capacitor charging rail systems; tramcar double insulation flexible suspension catenary systems for tram; and sliding elastic suspension device for contact wire of tramcar. In addition, it offers automobile casting parts, high-voltage electrical castings, high-speed rail castings, high-end military castings, and wind power castings; and eccentric locknuts, spring insert locknuts, stainless steel bolts and nuts, channel bolts, and stamping workpieces. The company was formerly known as China Railway Electrification Bureau Group Baoji Equipment Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Baoji, China. China Railway High-speed Electrification Equipment Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Railway Electric Industry Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Railway High-Speed Electrification Equipment Corporation reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥51.5M in FY2025, compounding −22.3%/yr from FY2021.
688285 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 112 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$180.94 | C$92.68 | -49% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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